$7 FlexFile3@}@y" Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:57:01 Page 001 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc title Black Duck Radio-tracking Data; Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.00 INPUT --- proc chmatrix occasions=8 groups=1 etype=Known icovar=4 INPUT --- ICMeans NoHist hist=300; INPUT --- glabel(1)=Group 1; INPUT --- time interval 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1; INPUT --- icovariates Age Weight Wing_Len condix; Number of unique encounter histories read was 48. Number of individual covariates read was 4. Time interval lengths are all equal to 1. Data type is Known Fates. Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.02 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:57:01 Page 002 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc estimate link=Logit varest=2ndPart ; INPUT --- model={S(condix)}; INPUT --- group=1 S rows=1 cols=8 Square Time=1; INPUT --- design matrix constraints=8 covariates=2; INPUT --- 1 condix; INPUT --- 1 condix; INPUT --- 1 condix; INPUT --- 1 condix; INPUT --- 1 condix; INPUT --- 1 condix; INPUT --- 1 condix; INPUT --- 1 condix; INPUT --- blabel(1)=Intercept; INPUT --- blabel(2)=condix; INPUT --- rlabel(1)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(2)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(3)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(4)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(5)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(6)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(7)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(8)=S; Link Function Used is LOGIT Variance Estimation Procedure Used is 2ndPart -2logL(saturated) = 0.0000000 Effective Sample Size = 284 Number of function evaluations was 18 for 2 parameters. Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:57:01 Page 003 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Time for numerical optimization was 0.01 seconds. -2logL {S(condix)} = 132.54076 Penalty {S(condix)} = 0.0000000 Gradient {S(condix)}: 0.000000 0.9278290E-06 S Vector {S(condix)}: 27.57709 0.3571757E-01 Time to compute number of parameters was 0.01 seconds. Threshold = 0.6000000E-07 Condition index = 0.1295190E-02 Conditioned S Vector {S(condix)}: 1.000000 0.1295190E-02 Number of Estimated Parameters {S(condix)} = 2 DEVIANCE {S(condix)} = 132.54076 DEVIANCE Degrees of Freedom {S(condix)} = 46 c-hat {S(condix)} = 2.8813208 AIC {S(condix)} = 136.54076 AICc {S(condix)} = 136.58346 BIC {S(condix)} = 143.83870 Pearson Chisquare {S(condix)} = 909.06762 LOGIT Link Function Parameters of {S(condix)} 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Beta Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1:Intercept -1.4613731 3.3187602 -7.9661433 5.0433971 2:condix 0.9746193 0.7843103 -0.5626289 2.5118675 Real Function Parameters of {S(condix)} Following estimates based on unstandardized individual covariate values: Variable Value --------- ------------- AGE 0.3750000 WEIGHT 1.1591667 WING_LEN 26.972917 CONDIX 4.2954167 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Estimate Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1:S 0.9384871 0.0145075 0.9031274 0.9614905 2:S 0.9384871 0.0145075 0.9031274 0.9614905 3:S 0.9384871 0.0145075 0.9031274 0.9614905 4:S 0.9384871 0.0145075 0.9031274 0.9614905 5:S 0.9384871 0.0145075 0.9031274 0.9614905 6:S 0.9384871 0.0145075 0.9031274 0.9614905 7:S 0.9384871 0.0145075 0.9031274 0.9614905 8:S 0.9384871 0.0145075 0.9031274 0.9614905 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:57:01 Page 004 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Estimates of Derived Parameters Survival Estimates of {S(condix)} Pr. Surviving Duration of 95% Confidence Interval Group Study Standard Error Lower Upper ----- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1 0.6017646 0.0744186 0.4511978 0.7352604 Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.03 INPUT --- proc stop; Time in minutes for this job was 0.00 E X E C U T I O N S U C C E S S F U L ,BINARY BETA PARvDi@y1H_BETA SE 9pB?Kp?BETA LCI @{BETA UCI{x @mQ?ROW 1Mjs?.'sROW 2.'s%;8q?HREAL PARoLL?oLL?oLL?oLL?oLL?oLL?oLL?oLL?HHREAL SE ލ?ލ?ލ?ލ?ލ?ލ?ލ?ލ?HHREAL LCIJ!Hp.?J!Hp.?J!Hp.?J!Hp.?J!Hp.?J!Hp.?J!Hp.?J!Hp.?HHREAL UCIf~?f~?f~?f~?f~?f~?f~?f~?HHROW 1> +?> +?> +?> +?> +?> +?> +?> +?HHROW 2> +?> +?> +?> +?> +?> +?> +?> +?HHROW 3> +?> +?> +?> +?> +?> +?> +?> +?HHROW 4> +?> +?> +?> +?> +?> +?> +?> +?HHROW 5> +?> +?> +?> +?> +?> +?> +?> +?HHROW 6> +?> +?> +?> +?> +?> +?> +?> +?HHROW 7> +?> +?> +?> +?> +?> +?> +?> +?HHROW 8> +?> +?> +?> +?> +?> +?> +?> +?H DERIVED  DERV PARJ&?DERV SE 6A^ײ?DERV LCI;V?DERV UCIZ)?ROW 1~&"1v?ROW 6^xf,?_*?_*?_*?*xf,?*~'?*~'?HHROW 7NUV'?*~'?_>gP_>gP_>gP*~'?̪+?̪+?HHROW 8NUV'?*~'?_>gP_>gP_>gP*~'?̪+?̪+?H DERIVED  DERV PAR-I?DERV SE Ӏ?DERV LCIv6i?DERV UCI|?ROW 1 L(gv?6_t2L6_t2LH. Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:56:09 Page 001 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc title Black Duck Radio-tracking Data; Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.00 INPUT --- proc chmatrix occasions=8 groups=1 etype=Known icovar=4 INPUT --- ICMeans NoHist hist=300; INPUT --- glabel(1)=Group 1; INPUT --- time interval 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1; INPUT --- icovariates Age Weight Wing_Len condix; Number of unique encounter histories read was 48. Number of individual covariates read was 4. Time interval lengths are all equal to 1. Data type is Known Fates. Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.02 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:56:09 Page 002 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc estimate link=Logit varest=2ndPart ; INPUT --- model={S(min<0+Weight)}; INPUT --- group=1 S rows=1 cols=8 Square Time=1; INPUT --- design matrix constraints=8 covariates=3; INPUT --- 1 4 Weight; INPUT --- 1 6 Weight; INPUT --- 1 7 Weight; INPUT --- 1 7 Weight; INPUT --- 1 7 Weight; INPUT --- 1 6 Weight; INPUT --- 1 5 Weight; INPUT --- 1 5 Weight; INPUT --- blabel(1)=Intercept; INPUT --- blabel(2)=min<0; INPUT --- blabel(3)=weight; INPUT --- rlabel(1)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(2)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(3)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(4)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(5)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(6)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(7)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(8)=S; Link Function Used is LOGIT Variance Estimation Procedure Used is 2ndPart -2logL(saturated) = 0.0000000 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:56:09 Page 003 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Effective Sample Size = 284 Number of function evaluations was 19 for 3 parameters. Time for numerical optimization was 0.02 seconds. -2logL {S(min<0+Weight)} = 127.31154 Penalty {S(min<0+Weight)} = 0.0000000 Gradient {S(min<0+Weight)}: 0.2411623E-05 0.1356561E-05 0.1957579E-05 S Vector {S(min<0+Weight)}: 40.98737 0.1763626 0.4021016E-01 Time to compute number of parameters was 0.01 seconds. Threshold = 0.8000000E-07 Condition index = 0.9810379E-03 Conditioned S Vector {S(min<0+Weight)}: 1.000000 0.4302852E-02 0.9810379E-03 Number of Estimated Parameters {S(min<0+Weight)} = 3 DEVIANCE {S(min<0+Weight)} = 127.31154 DEVIANCE Degrees of Freedom {S(min<0+Weight)} = 45 c-hat {S(min<0+Weight)} = 2.8291452 AIC {S(min<0+Weight)} = 133.31154 AICc {S(min<0+Weight)} = 133.39725 BIC {S(min<0+Weight)} = 144.25846 Pearson Chisquare {S(min<0+Weight)} = 926.34155 LOGIT Link Function Parameters of {S(min<0+Weight)} 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Beta Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1:Intercept 3.1248553 3.5423315 -3.8181145 10.067825 2:min<0 -0.6054031 0.2877711 -1.1694345 -0.0413717 3:weight 2.8743539 2.6310106 -2.2824270 8.0311349 Real Function Parameters of {S(min<0+Weight)} Following estimates based on unstandardized individual covariate values: Variable Value --------- ------------- AGE 0.3750000 WEIGHT 1.1591667 WING_LEN 26.972917 CONDIX 4.2954167 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Estimate Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1:S 0.9826233 0.0126292 0.9299157 0.9958678 2:S 0.9439745 0.0147674 0.9069548 0.9668043 3:S 0.9019330 0.0268065 0.8354659 0.9433693 4:S 0.9019330 0.0268065 0.8354659 0.9433693 5:S 0.9019330 0.0268065 0.8354659 0.9433693 6:S 0.9439745 0.0147674 0.9069548 0.9668043 7:S 0.9686198 0.0145679 0.9234596 0.9874955 8:S 0.9686198 0.0145679 0.9234596 0.9874955 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:56:09 Page 004 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Estimates of Derived Parameters Survival Estimates of {S(min<0+Weight)} Pr. Surviving Duration of 95% Confidence Interval Group Study Standard Error Lower Upper ----- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1 0.6027498 0.0739559 0.4530280 0.7354233 Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.03 INPUT --- proc stop; Time in minutes for this job was 0.00 E X E C U T I O N S U C C E S S F U L  Confidence Interval Group Study Standard Error Lower Upper ----- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1 0.5959373 0.0747069 0.4453383 0.7304004 Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.03 INPUT --- proc stop; Time in minutes for this job was 0.00 E X E C U T I O N S U C C E S S F U L dBINARY 0BETA PAR4Z@U5=S#B/?_5@00BETA SE } @su?4A;@E@WU`@00BETA LCILo@|) 3eeKj<00BETA UCI0[[(,@e'@B'"@"]J0@00ROW 1F@DR6@~>Ʀ uVЅ3$Ms0JHC1@00ROW 2>Ʀ}(u?!B`y?0o?aL00ROW 39uVЅ3B`y?i5F@P0@ 5'xC00ROW 4Ls00o?EP0@..@X 1.00ROW 5MIHC1@?9 5'xCI}X 1.5PA@0HREAL PARR2dg???ݿSB y?ݿSB y?ݿSB y??? 9? 9?HHREAL SE b?5Om?x?x?x?5Om?)7#M}?)7#M}?HHREAL LCI^Փ? .T?P_n?P_n?P_n? .T?PF]DM?PF]DM?HHREAL UCIs4'1?R]?PY3?PY3?PY3?R]?[?[?HHROW 1S\(?fh_ _%?\>\>\>fh_ _%?,?,?HHROW 2fh_ _%?A5ak2?W&l:3?W&l:3?W&l:3?A5ak2? EZ.? EZ.?HHROW 3\>W&l:3?0?[O?0?[O?0?[O?'l:3?~F >~F >HHROW 4\>W&l:3?0?[O?0?[O?0?[O?'l:3?~F >~F >HHROW 5\>W&l:3?0?[O?0?[O?0?[O?'l:3?~F >~F >HHROW 6fh_ _%?A5ak2?'l:3?'l:3?'l:3?A5ak2? EZ.? EZ.?HHROW 7,? EZ.?~F >~F >~F > EZ.? s)o0? s)o0?HHROW 8,? EZ.?~F >~F >~F > EZ.? s)o0? s)o0?H DERIVED  DERV PARBM&?DERV SE )o ?DERV LCIt4Wѥ?DERV UCInC?ROW 1>޻{? &H? &H?¸xjXHHROW 6ĴP!?ax-?¸+?¸+?¸+?ax-?M[;(?M[;(?HHROW 7Ѭ'?M[;(?jXjXjXM[;(?TU5,?TU5,?HHROW 8Ѭ'?M[;(?jXjXjXM[;(?TU5,?TU5,?H DERIVED  DERV PARkz&?DERV SE ?DERV LCI Fl?DERV UCI{Hp_?ROW 1$3j;v?101010 p 1100000000000000 1.0 2.9566 1011000000000000 1.0 2.7745 1011000000000000 1.0 3.4037 1010000000000000 1.0 41.6212 1010000000000000 1.0 41.9528 1010110000000000 1.0 2.3609 1010000000000000 1.0 41.2736 1010110000000000 1.0 1.3328 1010000000000000 1.0 41.6212 1010101100000000 1.0 2.7246 1010101100000000 1.0 2.9607 1010101100000000 1.0 3.7621 1010101100000000 1.0 2.0311 1010101100000000 1.0 2.6670 1010101000000000 1.0 41.2680 1010101011000000 1.0 3.0186 1010101011000000 1.0 2.8735 1010101000000000 1.0 39.4490 1010101011000000 1.0 2.1080 1010101011000000 1.0 1.7632 1010101010110000 1.0 1.7978 1010101010110000 1.0 2.4327 1010101010110000 1.0 2.5893 1010101010101100 1.0 2.4024 1010101010101010 1.0 27.5754 1010101010101010 1.0 34.8440 1010101010101010 1.0 29.6963 1010101010101010 1.0 24.8630 1010101010101010 1.0 32.7862 1010101010101010 1.0 33.1448 1010101010101010 1.0 25.3263 1010101010101010 1.0 26.6900 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4402 1010101010101010 1.0 22.9723 1010101010101010 1.0 28.8645 1010101010101010 1.0 29.6963 1010101010101010 1.0 23.9247 1010101010101010 1.0 33.4971 1010101010101010 1.0 23.9247 1010101010101010 1.0 28.8645 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4402 1010101010101010 1.0 33.1448 1010101010101010 1.0 36.3882 1010101010101010 1.0 31.2898 1010101010101010 1.0 31.2898 1010101010101010 1.0 28.0104 1010101010101010 1.0 28.0104 1010101010101010 1.0 27.1352 10 X Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:39 Page 001 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc title Black Duck Radio-tracking Data; Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.00 INPUT --- proc chmatrix occasions=8 groups=1 etype=Known icovar=4 INPUT --- ICMeans hist=300 NoHist; INPUT --- glabel(1)=Group 1; INPUT --- time interval 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1; INPUT --- icovariates Age Weight Wing_Len condix; Number of unique encounter histories read was 48. Number of individual covariates read was 4. Time interval lengths are all equal to 1. Data type is Known Fates. Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.02 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:39 Page 002 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc estimate link=Logit varest=2ndPart; INPUT --- model={S(min<0+condix+weight)}; INPUT --- group=1 S rows=1 cols=8 Square Time=1; INPUT --- initial 2.3246224 -0.6019686 1.4332085 -1.7622349; INPUT --- design matrix constraints=8 covariates=4; INPUT --- 1 4 condix weight; INPUT --- 1 6 condix weight; INPUT --- 1 7 condix weight; INPUT --- 1 7 condix weight; INPUT --- 1 7 condix weight; INPUT --- 1 6 condix weight; INPUT --- 1 5 condix weight; INPUT --- 1 5 condix weight; INPUT --- blabel(1)=Intercept; INPUT --- blabel(2)=min<0; INPUT --- blabel(3)=condix; INPUT --- blabel(4)=weight; INPUT --- rlabel(1)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(2)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(3)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(4)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(5)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(6)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(7)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(8)=S; Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:39 Page 003 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Link Function Used is LOGIT Variance Estimation Procedure Used is 2ndPart -2logL(saturated) = 0.0000000 Effective Sample Size = 284 Results from first iteration: -2logL Initial {S(min<0+condix+weight)} = 164.00520 Penalty Initial {S(min<0+condix+weight)} = 0.0000000 Number of function evaluations was 24 for 4 parameters. Time for numerical optimization was 0.02 seconds. -2logL {S(min<0+condix+weight)} = 127.01743 Penalty {S(min<0+condix+weight)} = 0.0000000 Gradient {S(min<0+condix+weight)}: -0.1538792E-04-0.1199279E-04-0.1281502E-04-0.1338962E-04 S Vector {S(min<0+condix+weight)}: 51.53503 0.2093604 0.4881854E-01 0.2850849E-02 Time to compute number of parameters was 0.01 seconds. Threshold = 0.1000000E-06 Condition index = 0.5531867E-04 Conditioned S Vector {S(min<0+condix+weight)}: 1.000000 0.4062488E-02 0.9472885E-03 0.5531867E-04 Number of Estimated Parameters {S(min<0+condix+weight)} = 4 DEVIANCE {S(min<0+condix+weight)} = 127.01743 DEVIANCE Degrees of Freedom {S(min<0+condix+weight)} = 44 c-hat {S(min<0+condix+weight)} = 2.8867598 AIC {S(min<0+condix+weight)} = 135.01743 AICc {S(min<0+condix+weight)} = 135.16080 BIC {S(min<0+condix+weight)} = 149.61333 Pearson Chisquare {S(min<0+condix+weight)} = 930.68630 LOGIT Link Function Parameters of {S(min<0+condix+weight)} 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Beta Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1:Intercept 2.3246269 3.8267716 -5.1758457 9.8250994 2:min<0 -0.6019686 0.2875689 -1.1656036 -0.0383336 3:condix 1.4332065 2.6543046 -3.7692306 6.6356436 4:weight -1.7622311 8.9751810 -19.353586 15.829124 Real Function Parameters of {S(min<0+condix+weight)} Following estimates based on unstandardized individual covariate values: Variable Value --------- ------------- AGE 0.3750000 WEIGHT 1.1591667 WING_LEN 26.972917 CONDIX 4.2954167 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Estimate Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1:S 0.9825404 0.0126765 0.9296883 0.9958422 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:39 Page 004 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2:S 0.9440814 0.0147695 0.9070356 0.9669033 3:S 0.9024146 0.0267791 0.8359403 0.9437665 4:S 0.9024146 0.0267791 0.8359403 0.9437665 5:S 0.9024146 0.0267791 0.8359403 0.9437665 6:S 0.9440814 0.0147695 0.9070356 0.9669033 7:S 0.9685769 0.0145794 0.9233953 0.9874718 8:S 0.9685769 0.0145794 0.9233953 0.9874718 Estimates of Derived Parameters Survival Estimates of {S(min<0+condix+weight)} Pr. Surviving Duration of 95% Confidence Interval Group Study Standard Error Lower Upper ----- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1 0.6037481 0.0741199 0.4535994 0.7365963 Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.03 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:39 Page 005 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc stop; Time in minutes for this job was 0.00 E X E C U T I O N S U C C E S S F U L ------- 1 0.5720460 e2462 0.4206171 0.7110827 Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.03 INPUT --- proc stop; Time in minutes for this job was 0.00 E X E C U T I O N S U C C E S S F U L 0.9210 101100000p 1100000000000000 1.0 0.8321 1011000000000000 1.0 2.6366 1011000000000000 1.0 3.2564 1010000000000000 1.0 44.1368 1010000000000000 1.0 44.3390 1010110000000000 1.0 3.9575 1010000000000000 1.0 43.9243 1010110000000000 1.0 2.2626 1010000000000000 1.0 44.1368 1010101100000000 1.0 4.3552 1010101100000000 1.0 4.7077 1010101100000000 1.0 5.8851 1010101100000000 1.0 3.3027 1010101100000000 1.0 4.2687 1010101000000000 1.0 40.4777 1010101011000000 1.0 4.4993 1010101011000000 1.0 4.3166 1010101000000000 1.0 38.5566 1010101011000000 1.0 3.2904 1010101011000000 1.0 2.7995 1010101010110000 1.0 1.5552 1010101010110000 1.0 2.0358 1010101010110000 1.0 2.1477 1010101010101100 1.0 1.1351 1010101010101010 1.0 27.7311 1010101010101010 1.0 34.7302 1010101010101010 1.0 29.7635 1010101010101010 1.0 25.1391 1010101010101010 1.0 32.7378 1010101010101010 1.0 33.0842 1010101010101010 1.0 25.5814 1010101010101010 1.0 26.8843 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5591 1010101010101010 1.0 23.3352 1010101010101010 1.0 28.9657 1010101010101010 1.0 29.7635 1010101010101010 1.0 24.2437 1010101010101010 1.0 33.4249 1010101010101010 1.0 24.2437 1010101010101010 1.0 28.9657 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5591 1010101010101010 1.0 33.0842 1010101010101010 1.0 36.2329 1010101010101010 1.0 31.2951 1010101010101010 1.0 31.2951 1010101010101010 1.0 28.1475 1010101010101010 1.0 28.1475 1010101010101010 1.0 27.3100 5@\ 1100000000000000 1.0 0.8477 1011000000000000 1.0 2.7123 1011000000000000 1.0 2.7092 1010000000000000 1.0 44.4328 1010000000000000 1.0 44.4532 1010110000000000 1.0 4.4531 1010000000000000 1.0 44.4356 1010110000000000 1.0 4.4726 1010000000000000 1.0 44.4464 1010101100000000 1.0 4.0213 1010101100000000 1.0 4.0249 1010101100000000 1.0 4.0439 1010101100000000 1.0 4.0213 1010101100000000 1.0 4.0284 1010101000000000 1.0 35.9688 1010101011000000 1.0 3.6159 1010101011000000 1.0 3.6177 1010101000000000 1.0 35.9728 1010101011000000 1.0 3.6122 1010101011000000 1.0 3.6177 1010101010110000 1.0 1.8548 1010101010110000 1.0 1.8535 1010101010110000 1.0 1.8535 1010101010101100 1.0 0.9806 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5402 1010101010101010 1.0 28.6387 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4880 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5344 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5460 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5866 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4938 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5518 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5576 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5228 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5808 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5112 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5576 1010101010101010 1.0 28.6155 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5808 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5286 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5112 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5518 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5808 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5228 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5402 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5054 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5518 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5750 Data tSBINARY  BETA PARHR[@nxSKp? BETA SE |$@:U{i?r? BETA LCIo)Ǝ+LT1:j BETA UCI%Q~^u:@M2Wۦ5%_? ROW 1u3WZ@G 4߿a/Q ROW 2G 4߿9 0?V3:Z ROW 3/Q4:Z7 ? HREAL PARn?1y)? ?DS>?HHREAL SE ۝N? Y?tZ9s?tZ9s?tZ9s? Y?t-O?t-O?HHREAL LCIlθ?%?fG?fG?fG?%? i? i?HHREAL UCI'Fd? xe?U5?U5?U5? xe?b#?b#?HHROW 1. I%?Iۦ#!?Ef?Ef?Ef?Iۦ#!?% zi(?% zi(?HHROW 2Iۦ#!? Gv,?(ݯ0)?(ݯ0)?(ݯ0)? Gv,?-+(?-+(?HHROW 3Ef?(ݯ0)?7tG?7tG?7tG?ִݯ0)?CaCaHHROW 4Ef?(ݯ0)?7tG?7tG?7tG?ִݯ0)?CaCaHHROW 5Ef?(ݯ0)?7tG?7tG?7tG?ִݯ0)?CaCaHHROW 6Iۦ#!? Gv,?ִݯ0)?ִݯ0)?ִݯ0)? Gv,?-+(?-+(?HHROW 7% zi(?-+(?CaCaCa-+(?B!d,?B!d,?HHROW 8% zi(?-+(?CaCaCa-+(?B!d,?B!d,?H DERIVED  DERV PAR\q.?DERV SE %?DERV LCI&DV\}?DERV UCIQpD??ROW 1ûu?bel(7)=S; INPUM Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:38 Page 001 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc title Black Duck Radio-tracking Data; Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.00 INPUT --- proc chmatrix occasions=8 groups=1 etype=Known icovar=4 INPUT --- ICMeans hist=300 NoHist; INPUT --- glabel(1)=Group 1; INPUT --- time interval 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1; INPUT --- icovariates Age Weight Wing_Len condix; Number of unique encounter histories read was 48. Number of individual covariates read was 4. Time interval lengths are all equal to 1. Data type is Known Fates. Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.03 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:38 Page 002 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc estimate link=Logit varest=2ndPart; INPUT --- model={S(min<0+condix*weight) Unstandardized}; INPUT --- group=1 S rows=1 cols=8 Square Time=1; INPUT --- initial -41.876072 -0.5854504 11.599915 36.878363 INPUT --- -8.8464649; INPUT --- design matrix constraints=8 covariates=5; INPUT --- 1 4 condix weight product(condix,weight); INPUT --- 1 6 condix weight product(condix,weight); INPUT --- 1 7 condix weight product(condix,weight); INPUT --- 1 7 condix weight product(condix,weight); INPUT --- 1 7 condix weight product(condix,weight); INPUT --- 1 6 condix weight product(condix,weight); INPUT --- 1 5 condix weight product(condix,weight); INPUT --- 1 5 condix weight product(condix,weight); INPUT --- blabel(1)=Intercept; INPUT --- blabel(2)=min<0; INPUT --- blabel(3)=condix; INPUT --- blabel(4)=weight; INPUT --- blabel(5)=condix*weight; INPUT --- rlabel(1)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(2)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(3)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(4)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(5)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(6)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(7)=S; Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:38 Page 003 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- rlabel(8)=S; Link Function Used is LOGIT Variance Estimation Procedure Used is 2ndPart -2logL(saturated) = 0.0000000 Effective Sample Size = 284 Results from first iteration: -2logL Initial {S(min<0+condix*weight) Unstandardized} = 4586.8330 Penalty Initial {S(min<0+condix*weight) Unstandardized} = 0.0000000 Number of function evaluations was 41 for 5 parameters. Time for numerical optimization was 0.03 seconds. -2logL {S(min<0+condix*weight) Unstandardized} = 124.74964 Penalty {S(min<0+condix*weight) Unstandardized} = 0.0000000 Gradient {S(min<0+condix*weight) Unstandardized}: 0.1027464E-05-0.5574903E-06 0.9165983E-06 0.7988516E-06 0.7838884E-06 S Vector {S(min<0+condix*weight) Unstandardized}: 57.86605 0.3276843 0.1069148 0.2820928E-02 0.1769062E-03 Time to compute number of parameters was 0.02 seconds. Threshold = 0.1200000E-06 Condition index = 0.3057167E-05 Conditioned S Vector {S(min<0+condix*weight) Unstandardized}: 1.000000 0.5662807E-02 0.1847626E-02 0.4874927E-04 0.3057167E-05 Number of Estimated Parameters {S(min<0+condix*weight) Unstandardized} = 5 DEVIANCE {S(min<0+condix*weight) Unstandardized} = 124.74964 DEVIANCE Degrees of Freedom {S(min<0+condix*weight) Unstandardized} = 43 c-hat {S(min<0+condix*weight) Unstandardized} = 2.9011545 AIC {S(min<0+condix*weight) Unstandardized} = 134.74964 AICc {S(min<0+condix*weight) Unstandardized} = 134.96547 BIC {S(min<0+condix*weight) Unstandardized} = 152.99452 Pearson Chisquare {S(min<0+condix*weight) Unstandardized} = 965.62635 LOGIT Link Function Parameters of {S(min<0+condix*weight) Unstandardized} 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Beta Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1:Intercept -41.876119 30.509195 -101.67414 17.921905 2:min<0 -0.5854505 0.2868442 -1.1476650 -0.0232359 3:condix 11.599930 7.6233250 -3.3417874 26.541647 4:weight 36.878389 27.101203 -16.239970 89.996747 5:condix*weight -8.8464737 5.9812733 -20.569770 2.8768222 Real Function Parameters of {S(min<0+condix*weight) Unstandardized} Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:38 Page 004 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Following estimates based on unstandardized individual covariate values: Variable Value --------- ------------- AGE 0.3750000 WEIGHT 1.1591667 WING_LEN 26.972917 CONDIX 4.2954167 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Estimate Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1:S 0.9867353 0.0101269 0.9422871 0.9970581 2:S 0.9584491 0.0150759 0.9165540 0.9797744 3:S 0.9277713 0.0270122 0.8535698 0.9658754 4:S 0.9277713 0.0270122 0.8535698 0.9658754 5:S 0.9277713 0.0270122 0.8535698 0.9658754 6:S 0.9584491 0.0150759 0.9165540 0.9797744 7:S 0.9764282 0.0123665 0.9352783 0.9916487 8:S 0.9764282 0.0123665 0.9352783 0.9916487 Estimates of Derived Parameters Survival Estimates of {S(min<0+condix*weight) Unstandardized} Pr. Surviving Duration of 95% Confidence Interval Group Study Standard Error Lower Upper ----- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1 0.6901479 0.0900430 0.4938791 0.8356355 Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.06 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:38 Page 005 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc stop; Time in minutes for this job was 0.00 E X E C U T I O N S U C C E S S F U L Z?qZ?qZ?'&h 1100000000000000 1.0 0.7324 1011000000000000 1.0 1.7469 1011000000000000 1.0 2.9485 1010000000000000 1.0 45.3976 1010000000000000 1.0 44.6680 1010110000000000 1.0 3.5767 1010000000000000 1.0 44.9436 1010110000000000 1.0 8.3553 1010000000000000 1.0 44.6884 1010101100000000 1.0 3.8123 1010101100000000 1.0 4.5762 1010101100000000 1.0 7.4579 1010101100000000 1.0 2.8313 1010101100000000 1.0 3.2077 1010101000000000 1.0 35.9936 1010101011000000 1.0 5.3630 1010101011000000 1.0 4.8173 1010101000000000 1.0 39.2695 1010101011000000 1.0 2.8060 1010101011000000 1.0 2.8481 1010101010110000 1.0 1.4470 1010101010110000 1.0 2.1146 1010101010110000 1.0 2.4415 1010101010101100 1.0 1.0290 1010101010101010 1.0 32.0473 1010101010101010 1.0 30.5207 1010101010101010 1.0 36.2339 1010101010101010 1.0 26.1951 1010101010101010 1.0 33.8459 1010101010101010 1.0 32.9703 1010101010101010 1.0 30.4865 1010101010101010 1.0 29.5874 1010101010101010 1.0 32.2901 1010101010101010 1.0 20.5767 1010101010101010 1.0 31.8760 1010101010101010 1.0 35.4013 1010101010101010 1.0 20.6271 1010101010101010 1.0 32.3360 1010101010101010 1.0 18.7349 1010101010101010 1.0 34.1216 1010101010101010 1.0 34.4718 1010101010101010 1.0 33.4045 1010101010101010 1.0 24.9233 1010101010101010 1.0 35.1372 1010101010101010 1.0 34.6999 1010101010101010 1.0 34.3324 1010101010101010 1.0 31.9904 1010101010101010 1.0 29.1900 ink=LogxBINARY 0BETA PAR赽@کa ⿰%?JLOtӿ00BETA SE 5{{?.>Z?a?.m_?RQ?00BETA LCI*ۂ;@ȥMR\޶ݵͷOQ>(*00BETA UCI1ծ$@엿4dU@TF~=?>$?00ROW 1-{ @CsƵ{{ 7z?p5A00ROW 2CsJ6 ?xB6w?8^ţpBR00ROW 3µ{{xB6w??u.>?HHREAL SE ͐?6ˊ?cA?cA?cA?6ˊ?ֈ?ֈ?HHREAL LCIhy,?S8h?>Šq?>Šq?>Šq?S8h???HHREAL UCI'H×?$f*U?-Hj?-Hj?-Hj?$f*U?2?2?HHROW 1 o?o?>!g@>!g@>!g@o?X?X?HHROW 2o?[PE+?XWT1?XWT1?XWT1?[PE+?1Ӟ#?1Ӟ#?HHROW 3>!g@XWT1?E?E?E?XWT1? 7? 7?HHROW 4>!g@XWT1?E?E?E?XWT1? 7? 7?HHROW 5>!g@XWT1?E?E?E?XWT1? 7? 7?HHROW 6o?[PE+?XWT1?XWT1?XWT1?[PE+?1Ӟ#?1Ӟ#?HHROW 7X?1Ӟ#? 7? 7? 7?1Ӟ#?k-G#?k-G#?HHROW 8X?1Ӟ#? 7? 7? 7?1Ӟ#?k-G#?k-G#?H DERIVED  DERV PAR=?DERV SE =?DERV LCI|>v ?DERV UCItfl?ROW 1t- ~?n Procedure Used is Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:39 Page 001 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc title Black Duck Radio-tracking Data; Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.00 INPUT --- proc chmatrix occasions=8 groups=1 etype=Known icovar=4 INPUT --- ICMeans hist=300 NoHist; INPUT --- glabel(1)=Group 1; INPUT --- time interval 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1; INPUT --- icovariates Age Weight Wing_Len condix; Number of unique encounter histories read was 48. Number of individual covariates read was 4. Time interval lengths are all equal to 1. Data type is Known Fates. Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.02 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:39 Page 002 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc estimate link=Logit varest=2ndPart; INPUT --- model={S(min<0+condix+weight) Unstandardized}; INPUT --- group=1 S rows=1 cols=8 Square Time=1; INPUT --- initial 2.3246224 -0.6019686 1.4332085 -1.7622349; INPUT --- design matrix constraints=8 covariates=4; INPUT --- 1 4 condix weight; INPUT --- 1 6 condix weight; INPUT --- 1 7 condix weight; INPUT --- 1 7 condix weight; INPUT --- 1 7 condix weight; INPUT --- 1 6 condix weight; INPUT --- 1 5 condix weight; INPUT --- 1 5 condix weight; INPUT --- blabel(1)=Intercept; INPUT --- blabel(2)=min<0; INPUT --- blabel(3)=condix; INPUT --- blabel(4)=weight; INPUT --- rlabel(1)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(2)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(3)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(4)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(5)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(6)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(7)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(8)=S; Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:39 Page 003 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Link Function Used is LOGIT Variance Estimation Procedure Used is 2ndPart -2logL(saturated) = 0.0000000 Effective Sample Size = 284 Results from first iteration: -2logL Initial {S(min<0+condix+weight) Unstandardized} = 164.00520 Penalty Initial {S(min<0+condix+weight) Unstandardized} = 0.0000000 Number of function evaluations was 24 for 4 parameters. Time for numerical optimization was 0.02 seconds. -2logL {S(min<0+condix+weight) Unstandardized} = 127.01743 Penalty {S(min<0+condix+weight) Unstandardized} = 0.0000000 Gradient {S(min<0+condix+weight) Unstandardized}: -0.1538792E-04-0.1199279E-04-0.1281502E-04-0.1338962E-04 S Vector {S(min<0+condix+weight) Unstandardized}: 51.53503 0.2093604 0.4881854E-01 0.2850849E-02 Time to compute number of parameters was 0.01 seconds. Threshold = 0.1000000E-06 Condition index = 0.5531867E-04 Conditioned S Vector {S(min<0+condix+weight) Unstandardized}: 1.000000 0.4062488E-02 0.9472885E-03 0.5531867E-04 Number of Estimated Parameters {S(min<0+condix+weight) Unstandardized} = 4 DEVIANCE {S(min<0+condix+weight) Unstandardized} = 127.01743 DEVIANCE Degrees of Freedom {S(min<0+condix+weight) Unstandardized} = 44 c-hat {S(min<0+condix+weight) Unstandardized} = 2.8867598 AIC {S(min<0+condix+weight) Unstandardized} = 135.01743 AICc {S(min<0+condix+weight) Unstandardized} = 135.16080 BIC {S(min<0+condix+weight) Unstandardized} = 149.61333 Pearson Chisquare {S(min<0+condix+weight) Unstandardized} = 930.68630 LOGIT Link Function Parameters of {S(min<0+condix+weight) Unstandardized} 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Beta Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1:Intercept 2.3246269 3.8267716 -5.1758457 9.8250994 2:min<0 -0.6019686 0.2875689 -1.1656036 -0.0383336 3:condix 1.4332065 2.6543046 -3.7692306 6.6356436 4:weight -1.7622311 8.9751810 -19.353586 15.829124 Real Function Parameters of {S(min<0+condix+weight) Unstandardized} Following estimates based on unstandardized individual covariate values: Variable Value --------- ------------- AGE 0.3750000 WEIGHT 1.1591667 WING_LEN 26.972917 CONDIX 4.2954167 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Estimate Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1:S 0.9825404 0.0126765 0.9296883 0.9958422 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:39 Page 004 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2:S 0.9440814 0.0147695 0.9070356 0.9669033 3:S 0.9024146 0.0267791 0.8359403 0.9437665 4:S 0.9024146 0.0267791 0.8359403 0.9437665 5:S 0.9024146 0.0267791 0.8359403 0.9437665 6:S 0.9440814 0.0147695 0.9070356 0.9669033 7:S 0.9685769 0.0145794 0.9233953 0.9874718 8:S 0.9685769 0.0145794 0.9233953 0.9874718 Estimates of Derived Parameters Survival Estimates of {S(min<0+condix+weight) Unstandardized} Pr. Surviving Duration of 95% Confidence Interval Group Study Standard Error Lower Upper ----- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1 0.6037481 0.0741199 0.4535994 0.7365963 Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.03 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:39 Page 005 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc stop; Time in minutes for this job was 0.00 E X E C U T I O N S U C C E S S F U L BINARY (BETA PAR`՘@SCoi?cI2((BETA SE Ir:@Rg?&ۙ <@wJ!@((BETA LCIg0O򿎰_b'gZ3((BETA UCI os#@xu)%@bR/@((ROW 10]6I-@E{:@((ROW 2E῎t]+?V+"?&!p((ROW 3H{:te+"?f$k.@[J6((ROW 4H@H5!p;J6hqr#T@(HREAL PAR0p?9ި5????9ި5?p:?p:?HHREAL SE u8"?7??Uqk?Uqk?Uqk?7??6bIۍ?6bIۍ?HHREAL LCI?Tweo?Ro?Ro?Ro?Tweo?QVOt?QVOt?HHREAL UCI<^?e ?IxU3?IxU3?IxU3?e ?<Ԁ^?<Ԁ^?HHROW 1(%?M|k!?1!F1!F1!FM|k!?[.д'?[.д'?HHROW 2M|k!?%,?=e*?=e*?=e*?%,?CeR'?CeR'?HHROW 31!F=e*?4ПG?4ПG?4ПG?e*?R22R22HHROW 41!F=e*?4ПG?4ПG?4ПG?e*?R22R22HHROW 51!F=e*?4ПG?4ПG?4ПG?e*?R22R22HHROW 6M|k!?%,?e*?e*?e*?%,?CeR'?CeR'?HHROW 7[.д'?CeR'?R22R22R22CeR'?%"J+?%"J+?HHROW 8[.д'?CeR'?R22R22R22CeR'?%"J+?%"J+?H DERIVED  DERV PARgQ?DERV SE ?DERV LCI?DERV UCIߓQ2?ROW 1K~*v? rlabel(4) Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:38 Page 001 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc title Black Duck Radio-tracking Data; Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.00 INPUT --- proc chmatrix occasions=8 groups=1 etype=Known icovar=4 INPUT --- ICMeans hist=300 NoHist; INPUT --- glabel(1)=Group 1; INPUT --- time interval 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1; INPUT --- icovariates Age Weight Wing_Len condix; Number of unique encounter histories read was 48. Number of individual covariates read was 4. Time interval lengths are all equal to 1. Data type is Known Fates. Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.03 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:38 Page 002 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc estimate link=Logit varest=2ndPart; INPUT --- model={S(min<0+condix*weight)}; INPUT --- group=1 S rows=1 cols=8 Square Time=1; INPUT --- initial -41.876072 -0.5854504 11.599915 36.878363 INPUT --- -8.8464649; INPUT --- design matrix constraints=8 covariates=5; INPUT --- 1 4 condix weight product(condix,weight); INPUT --- 1 6 condix weight product(condix,weight); INPUT --- 1 7 condix weight product(condix,weight); INPUT --- 1 7 condix weight product(condix,weight); INPUT --- 1 7 condix weight product(condix,weight); INPUT --- 1 6 condix weight product(condix,weight); INPUT --- 1 5 condix weight product(condix,weight); INPUT --- 1 5 condix weight product(condix,weight); INPUT --- blabel(1)=Intercept; INPUT --- blabel(2)=min<0; INPUT --- blabel(3)=condix; INPUT --- blabel(4)=weight; INPUT --- blabel(5)=condix*weight; INPUT --- rlabel(1)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(2)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(3)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(4)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(5)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(6)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(7)=S; Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:38 Page 003 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- rlabel(8)=S; Link Function Used is LOGIT Variance Estimation Procedure Used is 2ndPart -2logL(saturated) = 0.0000000 Effective Sample Size = 284 Results from first iteration: -2logL Initial {S(min<0+condix*weight)} = 4586.8330 Penalty Initial {S(min<0+condix*weight)} = 0.0000000 Number of function evaluations was 41 for 5 parameters. Time for numerical optimization was 0.03 seconds. -2logL {S(min<0+condix*weight)} = 124.74964 Penalty {S(min<0+condix*weight)} = 0.0000000 Gradient {S(min<0+condix*weight)}: 0.1027464E-05-0.5574903E-06 0.9165983E-06 0.7988516E-06 0.7838884E-06 S Vector {S(min<0+condix*weight)}: 57.86605 0.3276843 0.1069148 0.2820928E-02 0.1769062E-03 Time to compute number of parameters was 0.02 seconds. Threshold = 0.1200000E-06 Condition index = 0.3057167E-05 Conditioned S Vector {S(min<0+condix*weight)}: 1.000000 0.5662807E-02 0.1847626E-02 0.4874927E-04 0.3057167E-05 Number of Estimated Parameters {S(min<0+condix*weight)} = 5 DEVIANCE {S(min<0+condix*weight)} = 124.74964 DEVIANCE Degrees of Freedom {S(min<0+condix*weight)} = 43 c-hat {S(min<0+condix*weight)} = 2.9011545 AIC {S(min<0+condix*weight)} = 134.74964 AICc {S(min<0+condix*weight)} = 134.96547 BIC {S(min<0+condix*weight)} = 152.99452 Pearson Chisquare {S(min<0+condix*weight)} = 965.62635 LOGIT Link Function Parameters of {S(min<0+condix*weight)} 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Beta Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1:Intercept -41.876119 30.509195 -101.67414 17.921905 2:min<0 -0.5854505 0.2868442 -1.1476650 -0.0232359 3:condix 11.599930 7.6233250 -3.3417874 26.541647 4:weight 36.878389 27.101203 -16.239970 89.996747 5:condix*weight -8.8464737 5.9812733 -20.569770 2.8768222 Real Function Parameters of {S(min<0+condix*weight)} Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:38 Page 004 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Following estimates based on unstandardized individual covariate values: Variable Value --------- ------------- AGE 0.3750000 WEIGHT 1.1591667 WING_LEN 26.972917 CONDIX 4.2954167 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Estimate Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1:S 0.9867353 0.0101269 0.9422871 0.9970581 2:S 0.9584491 0.0150759 0.9165540 0.9797744 3:S 0.9277713 0.0270122 0.8535698 0.9658754 4:S 0.9277713 0.0270122 0.8535698 0.9658754 5:S 0.9277713 0.0270122 0.8535698 0.9658754 6:S 0.9584491 0.0150759 0.9165540 0.9797744 7:S 0.9764282 0.0123665 0.9352783 0.9916487 8:S 0.9764282 0.0123665 0.9352783 0.9916487 Estimates of Derived Parameters Survival Estimates of {S(min<0+condix*weight)} Pr. Surviving Duration of 95% Confidence Interval Group Study Standard Error Lower Upper ----- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1 0.6901479 0.0900430 0.4938791 0.8356355 Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.06 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:38 Page 005 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc stop; Time in minutes for this job was 0.00 E X E C U T I O N S U C C E S S F U L N S U C C E S S F U BINARY  BETA PAR@W|f^Ŀ BETA SE WJp?|O| ~o?ޟ? BETA LCImDò@|u@ÐG BETA UCI1Hll$@l2dVBh? ROW 1 P @ln" :~: ROW 2mn" :῔=?x) |? ROW 3:x) |?Xp? HREAL PARn?ܒ=&?sgӾ?sgӾ?sgӾ?ܒ=&?ߧ+?ߧ+?HHREAL SE 0e]%S?5?*?*?*?5?O:.$o?O:.$o?HHREAL LCIԣg??BS?BS?BS?? J,? J,?HHREAL UCIeϹb??B?V7?V7?V7??B?sNYM?sNYM?HHROW 1IJ%?j޵!?fWefWefWej޵!?a:(?a:(?HHROW 2j޵!?Hc O-?S*?S*?S*?Hc O-?Љr(?Љr(?HHROW 3fWeS*?jH?jH?jH?zS*?+"+"HHROW 4fWeS*?jH?jH?jH?zS*?+"+"HHROW 5fWeS*?jH?jH?jH?zS*?+"+"HHROW 6j޵!?Hc O-?zS*?zS*?zS*?Hc O-?Љr(?Љr(?HHROW 7a:(?Љr(?+"+"+"Љr(?,?,?HHROW 8a:(?Љr(?+"+"+"Љr(?,?,?H DERIVED  DERV PARN?DERV SE È:Ѳ?DERV LCI9l?DERV UCIt2?ROW 1rߎ"v?N``+?N``+?Hp 1100000000000000 1.0 3.2505 1011000000000000 1.0 2.5546 1011000000000000 1.0 3.4338 1010000000000000 1.0 42.1462 1010000000000000 1.0 41.2647 1010110000000000 1.0 2.7169 1010000000000000 1.0 41.6082 1010110000000000 1.0 1.1391 1010000000000000 1.0 41.3231 1010101100000000 1.0 2.8050 1010101100000000 1.0 3.0207 1010101100000000 1.0 3.5480 1010101100000000 1.0 1.9639 1010101100000000 1.0 2.5595 1010101000000000 1.0 41.4371 1010101011000000 1.0 3.2160 1010101011000000 1.0 2.9994 1010101000000000 1.0 39.1681 1010101011000000 1.0 2.2067 1010101011000000 1.0 1.6566 1010101010110000 1.0 1.7700 1010101010110000 1.0 2.5886 1010101010110000 1.0 2.7592 1010101010101100 1.0 2.2521 1010101010101010 1.0 27.8231 1010101010101010 1.0 33.1629 1010101010101010 1.0 32.3288 1010101010101010 1.0 24.7055 1010101010101010 1.0 33.7384 1010101010101010 1.0 32.8094 1010101010101010 1.0 26.8089 1010101010101010 1.0 26.2176 1010101010101010 1.0 28.1079 1010101010101010 1.0 22.8360 1010101010101010 1.0 27.8231 1010101010101010 1.0 31.4619 1010101010101010 1.0 22.5196 1010101010101010 1.0 32.2069 1010101010101010 1.0 21.7237 1010101010101010 1.0 29.7667 1010101010101010 1.0 29.9009 1010101010101010 1.0 33.9638 1010101010101010 1.0 36.8391 1010101010101010 1.0 32.8094 1010101010101010 1.0 32.2069 1010101010101010 1.0 29.6318 1010101010101010 1.0 27.8231 1010101010101010 1.0 25.9189 1.1.2951 1010101010101010 1.0 28.1475 1010101010101010 1.0 28.1475 1010101010101010 1.0 27.3100 *'t=ЩP Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:50:24 Page 001 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc title Black Duck Radio-tracking Data; Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.00 INPUT --- proc chmatrix occasions=8 groups=1 etype=Known icovar=4 INPUT --- ICMeans NoHist hist=300; INPUT --- glabel(1)=Group 1; INPUT --- time interval 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1; INPUT --- icovariates Age Weight Wing_Len condix; Number of unique encounter histories read was 48. Number of individual covariates read was 4. Time interval lengths are all equal to 1. Data type is Known Fates. Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.02 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:50:24 Page 002 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc estimate link=Logit varest=2ndPart ; INPUT --- model={S(min<0+Age)}; INPUT --- group=1 S rows=1 cols=8 Square Time=1; INPUT --- design matrix constraints=8 covariates=3; INPUT --- 1 4 Age; INPUT --- 1 6 Age; INPUT --- 1 7 Age; INPUT --- 1 7 Age; INPUT --- 1 7 Age; INPUT --- 1 6 Age; INPUT --- 1 5 Age; INPUT --- 1 5 Age; INPUT --- blabel(1)=Intercept; INPUT --- blabel(2)=min<0; INPUT --- blabel(3)=age; INPUT --- rlabel(1)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(2)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(3)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(4)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(5)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(6)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(7)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(8)=S; Link Function Used is LOGIT Variance Estimation Procedure Used is 2ndPart -2logL(saturated) = 0.0000000 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:50:24 Page 003 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Effective Sample Size = 284 Number of function evaluations was 19 for 3 parameters. Time for numerical optimization was 0.02 seconds. -2logL {S(min<0+Age)} = 128.45818 Penalty {S(min<0+Age)} = 0.0000000 Gradient {S(min<0+Age)}: 0.2266326E-05 0.2688588E-05 0.7342124E-05 S Vector {S(min<0+Age)}: 32.59631 3.457954 0.1323017 Time to compute number of parameters was 0.01 seconds. Threshold = 0.8000000E-07 Condition index = 0.4058793E-02 Conditioned S Vector {S(min<0+Age)}: 1.000000 0.1060842 0.4058793E-02 Number of Estimated Parameters {S(min<0+Age)} = 3 DEVIANCE {S(min<0+Age)} = 128.45818 DEVIANCE Degrees of Freedom {S(min<0+Age)} = 45 c-hat {S(min<0+Age)} = 2.8546263 AIC {S(min<0+Age)} = 134.45818 AICc {S(min<0+Age)} = 134.54390 BIC {S(min<0+Age)} = 145.40510 Pearson Chisquare {S(min<0+Age)} = 901.64446 LOGIT Link Function Parameters of {S(min<0+Age)} 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Beta Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1:Intercept 6.5245251 1.8812441 2.8372865 10.211764 2:min<0 -0.6122316 0.2880550 -1.1768193 -0.0476438 3:age -0.1613142 0.5229381 -1.1862729 0.8636444 Real Function Parameters of {S(min<0+Age)} Following estimates based on unstandardized individual covariate values: Variable Value --------- ------------- AGE 0.3750000 WEIGHT 1.1591667 WING_LEN 26.972917 CONDIX 4.2954167 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Estimate Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1:S 0.9822787 0.0128539 0.9287604 0.9957746 2:S 0.9421681 0.0149535 0.9048866 0.9653952 3:S 0.8982940 0.0272973 0.8310095 0.9407005 4:S 0.8982940 0.0272973 0.8310095 0.9407005 5:S 0.8982940 0.0272973 0.8310095 0.9407005 6:S 0.9421681 0.0149535 0.9048866 0.9653952 7:S 0.9677942 0.0148604 0.9218961 0.9870976 8:S 0.9677942 0.0148604 0.9218961 0.9870976 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:50:24 Page 004 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Estimates of Derived Parameters Survival Estimates of {S(min<0+Age)} Pr. Surviving Duration of 95% Confidence Interval Group Study Standard Error Lower Upper ----- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1 0.5919882 0.0735123 0.4441500 0.7248638 Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.03 INPUT --- proc stop; Time in minutes for this job was 0.00 E X E C U T I O N S U C C E S S F U L 0.9069548 z 1100000000000000 1.0 1.1616 1011000000000000 1.0 2.2056 1011000000000000 1.0 4.8920 1010000000000000 1.0 44.6466 1010000000000000 1.0 42.7864 1010110000000000 1.0 5.1999 1010000000000000 1.0 41.9683 1010110000000000 1.0 2.4248 1010000000000000 1.0 42.3906 1010101100000000 1.0 5.7322 1010101100000000 1.0 4.4844 1010101100000000 1.0 6.1361 1010101100000000 1.0 2.6522 1010101100000000 1.0 3.8849 1010101000000000 1.0 39.3085 1010101011000000 1.0 4.4978 1010101011000000 1.0 4.2374 1010101000000000 1.0 36.1522 1010101011000000 1.0 2.8104 1010101011000000 1.0 2.1916 1010101010110000 1.0 1.2579 1010101010110000 1.0 1.9163 1010101010110000 1.0 2.4712 1010101010101100 1.0 1.0945 1010101010101010 1.0 29.8734 1010101010101010 1.0 32.5945 1010101010101010 1.0 32.4922 1010101010101010 1.0 26.3914 1010101010101010 1.0 29.4333 1010101010101010 1.0 36.4995 1010101010101010 1.0 26.9950 1010101010101010 1.0 20.1315 1010101010101010 1.0 30.9537 1010101010101010 1.0 23.8993 1010101010101010 1.0 31.4776 1010101010101010 1.0 32.4922 1010101010101010 1.0 25.1599 1010101010101010 1.0 30.5304 1010101010101010 1.0 25.1599 1010101010101010 1.0 31.4776 1010101010101010 1.0 30.9537 1010101010101010 1.0 29.9871 1010101010101010 1.0 34.9220 1010101010101010 1.0 27.1187 1010101010101010 1.0 34.3862 1010101010101010 1.0 30.4189 1010101010101010 1.0 30.4189 1010101010101010 1.0 29.3175 6.9453 rX1010101010 1.0 29.2688 1010101010101010 1.0 29.2688 1010101010101010 1.0 26.9453 1010101010101010 1.0 29.2688 1010101010101010 1.0 29.2688 1010101010101010 1.0 29.2688 1010101010101010 1.0 29.2688 1010101010101010 1.0 29.2688 1010101010101010 1.0 26.9453 1010101010101010 1.0 29.2688 1010101010101010 1.0 29.2688 1010101010101010 1.0 29.2688 1010101010101010 1.0 26.9453 1010101010101010 1.0 26.9453 1010101010101010 1.0 26.9453 1010101010101010 1.0 29.2688 1010101010101010 1.0 29.2688 1010101010101010 1.0 29.2688 1010101010101010 1.0 29.2688 dized}  Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:37 Page 001 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc title Black Duck Radio-tracking Data; Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.00 INPUT --- proc chmatrix occasions=8 groups=1 etype=Known icovar=4 INPUT --- ICMeans Standardize hist=300 NoHist; INPUT --- glabel(1)=Group 1; INPUT --- time interval 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1; INPUT --- icovariates Age Weight Wing_Len condix; Number of unique encounter histories read was 48. Number of individual covariates read was 4. Time interval lengths are all equal to 1. Data type is Known Fates. Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.02 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:37 Page 002 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc estimate link=Logit varest=2ndPart; INPUT --- model={S(min<0+age+weight)}; INPUT --- group=1 S rows=1 cols=8 Square Time=1; INPUT --- initial 6.5122875 -0.6176843 -0.2724425 0.4039653; INPUT --- design matrix constraints=8 covariates=4; INPUT --- 1 4 age weight; INPUT --- 1 6 age weight; INPUT --- 1 7 age weight; INPUT --- 1 7 age weight; INPUT --- 1 7 age weight; INPUT --- 1 6 age weight; INPUT --- 1 5 age weight; INPUT --- 1 5 age weight; INPUT --- blabel(1)=Intercept; INPUT --- blabel(2)=min<0; INPUT --- blabel(3)=age; INPUT --- blabel(4)=weight; INPUT --- rlabel(1)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(2)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(3)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(4)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(5)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(6)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(7)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(8)=S; Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:37 Page 003 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Link Function Used is LOGIT Variance Estimation Procedure Used is 2ndPart -2logL(saturated) = 0.0000000 Effective Sample Size = 284 Results from first iteration: -2logL Initial {S(min<0+age+weight)} = 214.77264 Penalty Initial {S(min<0+age+weight)} = 0.0000000 Number of function evaluations was 13 for 4 parameters. Time for numerical optimization was 0.02 seconds. -2logL {S(min<0+age+weight)} = 126.44581 Penalty {S(min<0+age+weight)} = 0.0000000 Gradient {S(min<0+age+weight)}: 0.1513345E-05 0.5338623E-06-0.1054187E-05-0.6921855E-06 S Vector {S(min<0+age+weight)}: 30.53461 9.735370 1.689841 0.1325975 Time to compute number of parameters was 0.01 seconds. Threshold = 0.1000000E-06 Condition index = 0.4342532E-02 Conditioned S Vector {S(min<0+age+weight)}: 1.000000 0.3188307 0.5534182E-01 0.4342532E-02 Number of Estimated Parameters {S(min<0+age+weight)} = 4 DEVIANCE {S(min<0+age+weight)} = 126.44581 DEVIANCE Degrees of Freedom {S(min<0+age+weight)} = 44 c-hat {S(min<0+age+weight)} = 2.8737684 AIC {S(min<0+age+weight)} = 134.44581 AICc {S(min<0+age+weight)} = 134.58918 BIC {S(min<0+age+weight)} = 149.04170 Pearson Chisquare {S(min<0+age+weight)} = 931.77959 LOGIT Link Function Parameters of {S(min<0+age+weight)} 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Beta Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1:Intercept 6.5122875 1.8687658 2.8495064 10.175069 2:min<0 -0.6176843 0.2886624 -1.1834627 -0.0519060 3:age -0.2724425 0.2870656 -0.8350910 0.2902060 4:weight 0.4039652 0.2868468 -0.1582545 0.9661848 Real Function Parameters of {S(min<0+age+weight)} Following estimates based on standardized individual covariate values: Variable Value Mean SD --------- ------------- ------------- ------------- AGE 0.0 0.3750000 0.4892461 WEIGHT 0.0 1.1591667 0.1000603 WING_LEN 0.0 26.972917 0.6667609 CONDIX 0.0 4.2954167 0.3368816 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Estimate Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1:S 0.9827332 0.0125785 0.9301270 0.9959073 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:37 Page 004 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2:S 0.9430090 0.0150108 0.9054018 0.9662233 3:S 0.8992118 0.0275266 0.8310654 0.9417940 4:S 0.8992118 0.0275266 0.8310654 0.9417940 5:S 0.8992118 0.0275266 0.8310654 0.9417940 6:S 0.9430090 0.0150108 0.9054018 0.9662233 7:S 0.9684421 0.0146706 0.9229421 0.9874415 8:S 0.9684421 0.0146706 0.9229421 0.9874415 Estimates of Derived Parameters Survival Estimates of {S(min<0+age+weight)} Pr. Surviving Duration of 95% Confidence Interval Group Study Standard Error Lower Upper ----- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1 0.5959373 0.0747069 0.4453383 0.7304004 Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.05 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:37 Page 005 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc stop; Time in minutes for this job was 0.00 E X E C U T I O N S U C C E S S F U L ge Weight Wing_p 1100000000000000 1.0 1.1616 1011000000000000 1.0 2.2056 1011000000000000 1.0 4.8920 1010000000000000 1.0 44.6466 1010000000000000 1.0 42.7864 1010110000000000 1.0 5.1999 1010000000000000 1.0 41.9683 1010110000000000 1.0 2.4248 1010000000000000 1.0 42.3906 1010101100000000 1.0 5.7322 1010101100000000 1.0 4.4844 1010101100000000 1.0 6.1361 1010101100000000 1.0 2.6522 1010101100000000 1.0 3.8849 1010101000000000 1.0 39.3085 1010101011000000 1.0 4.4978 1010101011000000 1.0 4.2374 1010101000000000 1.0 36.1522 1010101011000000 1.0 2.8104 1010101011000000 1.0 2.1916 1010101010110000 1.0 1.2579 1010101010110000 1.0 1.9163 1010101010110000 1.0 2.4712 1010101010101100 1.0 1.0945 1010101010101010 1.0 29.8734 1010101010101010 1.0 32.5945 1010101010101010 1.0 32.4922 1010101010101010 1.0 26.3914 1010101010101010 1.0 29.4333 1010101010101010 1.0 36.4995 1010101010101010 1.0 26.9950 1010101010101010 1.0 20.1315 1010101010101010 1.0 30.9537 1010101010101010 1.0 23.8993 1010101010101010 1.0 31.4776 1010101010101010 1.0 32.4922 1010101010101010 1.0 25.1599 1010101010101010 1.0 30.5304 1010101010101010 1.0 25.1599 1010101010101010 1.0 31.4776 1010101010101010 1.0 30.9537 1010101010101010 1.0 29.9871 1010101010101010 1.0 34.9220 1010101010101010 1.0 27.1187 1010101010101010 1.0 34.3862 1010101010101010 1.0 30.4189 1010101010101010 1.0 30.4189 1010101010101010 1.0 29.3175 000000 ) Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:37 Page 001 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc title Black Duck Radio-tracking Data; Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.00 INPUT --- proc chmatrix occasions=8 groups=1 etype=Known icovar=4 INPUT --- ICMeans hist=300 NoHist; INPUT --- glabel(1)=Group 1; INPUT --- time interval 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1; INPUT --- icovariates Age Weight Wing_Len condix; Number of unique encounter histories read was 48. Number of individual covariates read was 4. Time interval lengths are all equal to 1. Data type is Known Fates. Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.03 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:38 Page 002 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc estimate link=Logit varest=2ndPart; INPUT --- model={S(min<0+Wing_Len)}; INPUT --- group=1 S rows=1 cols=8 Square Time=1; INPUT --- initial 6.3397811 -0.6085114 0.0040733; INPUT --- design matrix constraints=8 covariates=3; INPUT --- 1 4 Wing_Len; INPUT --- 1 6 Wing_Len; INPUT --- 1 7 Wing_Len; INPUT --- 1 7 Wing_Len; INPUT --- 1 7 Wing_Len; INPUT --- 1 6 Wing_Len; INPUT --- 1 5 Wing_Len; INPUT --- 1 5 Wing_Len; INPUT --- blabel(1)=Intercept; INPUT --- blabel(2)=min<0; INPUT --- blabel(3)=Wing_Len; INPUT --- rlabel(1)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(2)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(3)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(4)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(5)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(6)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(7)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(8)=S; Link Function Used is LOGIT Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:38 Page 003 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Variance Estimation Procedure Used is 2ndPart -2logL(saturated) = 0.0000000 Effective Sample Size = 284 Results from first iteration: -2logL Initial {S(min<0+Wing_Len)} = 209.87341 Penalty Initial {S(min<0+Wing_Len)} = 0.0000000 Number of function evaluations was 20 for 3 parameters. Time for numerical optimization was 0.01 seconds. -2logL {S(min<0+Wing_Len)} = 128.55177 Penalty {S(min<0+Wing_Len)} = 0.0000000 Gradient {S(min<0+Wing_Len)}: 0.7744537E-06 0.000000 0.000000 S Vector {S(min<0+Wing_Len)}: 45.36731 0.1713913 0.4586196E-02 Time to compute number of parameters was 0.02 seconds. Threshold = 0.8000000E-07 Condition index = 0.1010903E-03 Conditioned S Vector {S(min<0+Wing_Len)}: 1.000000 0.3777858E-02 0.1010903E-03 Number of Estimated Parameters {S(min<0+Wing_Len)} = 3 DEVIANCE {S(min<0+Wing_Len)} = 128.55177 DEVIANCE Degrees of Freedom {S(min<0+Wing_Len)} = 45 c-hat {S(min<0+Wing_Len)} = 2.8567060 AIC {S(min<0+Wing_Len)} = 134.55177 AICc {S(min<0+Wing_Len)} = 134.63748 BIC {S(min<0+Wing_Len)} = 145.49869 Pearson Chisquare {S(min<0+Wing_Len)} = 903.56184 LOGIT Link Function Parameters of {S(min<0+Wing_Len)} 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Beta Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1:Intercept 6.3398088 10.264624 -13.778856 26.458473 2:min<0 -0.6085109 0.2876881 -1.1723796 -0.0446422 3:Wing_Len 0.0040722 0.3754293 -0.7317692 0.7399135 Real Function Parameters of {S(min<0+Wing_Len)} Following estimates based on unstandardized individual covariate values: Variable Value --------- ------------- AGE 0.3750000 WEIGHT 1.1591667 WING_LEN 26.972917 CONDIX 4.2954167 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Estimate Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1:S 0.9822873 0.0128456 0.9288095 0.9957757 2:S 0.9425991 0.0148198 0.9056576 0.9656246 3:S 0.8993543 0.0268953 0.8330904 0.9411689 4:S 0.8993543 0.0268953 0.8330904 0.9411689 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:38 Page 004 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 5:S 0.8993543 0.0268953 0.8330904 0.9411689 6:S 0.9425991 0.0148198 0.9056576 0.9656246 7:S 0.9679255 0.0148010 0.9222035 0.9871505 8:S 0.9679255 0.0148010 0.9222035 0.9871505 Estimates of Derived Parameters Survival Estimates of {S(min<0+Wing_Len)} Pr. Surviving Duration of 95% Confidence Interval Group Study Standard Error Lower Upper ----- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1 0.5947972 0.0729150 0.4479059 0.7264731 Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.03 INPUT --- proc stop; Time in minutes for this job was 0.00 E X E C U T I O N S U C C E S S F U L MGp?.?Mx 1100000000000000 1.0 0.9734 1011000000000000 1.0 2.3277 1011000000000000 1.0 3.2470 1010000000000000 1.0 44.6297 1010000000000000 1.0 43.6849 1010110000000000 1.0 4.9166 1010000000000000 1.0 44.2697 1010110000000000 1.0 1.9188 1010000000000000 1.0 43.8788 1010101100000000 1.0 4.4950 1010101100000000 1.0 4.7641 1010101100000000 1.0 5.2156 1010101100000000 1.0 3.2032 1010101100000000 1.0 3.9922 1010101000000000 1.0 40.4045 1010101011000000 1.0 4.7769 1010101011000000 1.0 4.4847 1010101000000000 1.0 37.8771 1010101011000000 1.0 3.5243 1010101011000000 1.0 2.6325 1010101010110000 1.0 1.5531 1010101010110000 1.0 2.1902 1010101010110000 1.0 2.3018 1010101010101100 1.0 1.0224 1010101010101010 1.0 28.1735 1010101010101010 1.0 31.6122 1010101010101010 1.0 33.4085 1010101010101010 1.0 25.2588 1010101010101010 1.0 33.7699 1010101010101010 1.0 32.1816 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9973 1010101010101010 1.0 26.3693 1010101010101010 1.0 28.0787 1010101010101010 1.0 23.6720 1010101010101010 1.0 27.4045 1010101010101010 1.0 32.1934 1010101010101010 1.0 22.6532 1010101010101010 1.0 31.0415 1010101010101010 1.0 21.4969 1010101010101010 1.0 30.2339 1010101010101010 1.0 30.6611 1010101010101010 1.0 33.8970 1010101010101010 1.0 36.3030 1010101010101010 1.0 33.2531 1010101010101010 1.0 32.3857 1010101010101010 1.0 30.5142 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9190 1010101010101010 1.0 25.6665 BINARY (BETA PARsƣ@\gSC㿷]#?gE1#ƿ((BETA SE Bd?,^%g?2\X?.ƙ?((BETA LCI.eO@ O 9P &AM?((BETA UCIM,$@(h_i]̿@tDV?((ROW 1dsW @*:࿤+a㱄?((ROW 2*:+?8}r?|?-m((ROW 39'a?7}r??]((ROW 4L㱄?yz?-m]8@?(HREAL PAR$Ԍp?w!5?i?i?i?w!5?F?F?HHREAL SE ET#?h!v??k?k?k?h!v???lۍ??lۍ?HHREAL LCI2?ROW 17v? Vari Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:40 Page 001 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc title Black Duck Radio-tracking Data; Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.00 INPUT --- proc chmatrix occasions=8 groups=1 etype=Known icovar=4 INPUT --- ICMeans hist=300 NoHist; INPUT --- glabel(1)=Group 1; INPUT --- time interval 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1; INPUT --- icovariates Age Weight Wing_Len condix; Number of unique encounter histories read was 48. Number of individual covariates read was 4. Time interval lengths are all equal to 1. Data type is Known Fates. Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.02 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:40 Page 002 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc estimate link=Logit varest=2ndPart; INPUT --- model={S(min<0+age*weight)}; INPUT --- group=1 S rows=1 cols=8 Square Time=1; INPUT --- initial 4.7230162 -0.6256061 -6.4988607 1.6779122 5.1457249; INPUT --- design matrix constraints=8 covariates=5; INPUT --- 1 4 age weight product(age,weight); INPUT --- 1 6 age weight product(age,weight); INPUT --- 1 7 age weight product(age,weight); INPUT --- 1 7 age weight product(age,weight); INPUT --- 1 7 age weight product(age,weight); INPUT --- 1 6 age weight product(age,weight); INPUT --- 1 5 age weight product(age,weight); INPUT --- 1 5 age weight product(age,weight); INPUT --- blabel(1)=Intercept; INPUT --- blabel(2)=min<0; INPUT --- blabel(3)=age; INPUT --- blabel(4)=weight; INPUT --- blabel(5)=Age*Weight; INPUT --- rlabel(1)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(2)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(3)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(4)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(5)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(6)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(7)=S; Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:40 Page 003 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- rlabel(8)=S; Link Function Used is LOGIT Variance Estimation Procedure Used is 2ndPart -2logL(saturated) = 0.0000000 Effective Sample Size = 284 Results from first iteration: -2logL Initial {S(min<0+age*weight)} = 177.35986 Penalty Initial {S(min<0+age*weight)} = 0.0000000 Number of function evaluations was 24 for 5 parameters. Time for numerical optimization was 0.02 seconds. -2logL {S(min<0+age*weight)} = 125.65747 Penalty {S(min<0+age*weight)} = 0.0000000 Gradient {S(min<0+age*weight)}: 0.1489862E-05 0.1849257E-05 0.5685200E-06 0.8402255E-06 0.000000 S Vector {S(min<0+age*weight)}: 43.95862 5.554905 0.1672901 0.4198339E-01 0.7055111E-02 Time to compute number of parameters was 0.02 seconds. Threshold = 0.1200000E-06 Condition index = 0.1604944E-03 Conditioned S Vector {S(min<0+age*weight)}: 1.000000 0.1263667 0.3805627E-02 0.9550662E-03 0.1604944E-03 Number of Estimated Parameters {S(min<0+age*weight)} = 5 DEVIANCE {S(min<0+age*weight)} = 125.65747 DEVIANCE Degrees of Freedom {S(min<0+age*weight)} = 43 c-hat {S(min<0+age*weight)} = 2.9222668 AIC {S(min<0+age*weight)} = 135.65747 AICc {S(min<0+age*weight)} = 135.87330 BIC {S(min<0+age*weight)} = 153.90234 Pearson Chisquare {S(min<0+age*weight)} = 941.24629 LOGIT Link Function Parameters of {S(min<0+age*weight)} 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Beta Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1:Intercept 4.7230200 4.7611940 -4.6089203 14.054960 2:min<0 -0.6256059 0.2898914 -1.1937930 -0.0574188 3:age -6.4988676 6.7570608 -19.742707 6.7449718 4:weight 1.6779077 3.8847052 -5.9361146 9.2919299 5:Age*Weight 5.1457311 5.8440757 -6.3086574 16.600120 Real Function Parameters of {S(min<0+age*weight)} Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:40 Page 004 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Following estimates based on unstandardized individual covariate values: Variable Value --------- ------------- AGE 0.3750000 WEIGHT 1.1591667 WING_LEN 26.972917 CONDIX 4.2954167 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Estimate Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1:S 0.9813902 0.0136331 0.9242960 0.9956289 2:S 0.9378517 0.0170207 0.8948914 0.9639603 3:S 0.8897768 0.0312327 0.8121865 0.9377687 4:S 0.8897768 0.0312327 0.8121865 0.9377687 5:S 0.8897768 0.0312327 0.8121865 0.9377687 6:S 0.9378517 0.0170207 0.8948914 0.9639603 7:S 0.9657651 0.0161030 0.9156821 0.9865373 8:S 0.9657651 0.0161030 0.9156821 0.9865373 Estimates of Derived Parameters Survival Estimates of {S(min<0+age*weight)} Pr. Surviving Duration of 95% Confidence Interval Group Study Standard Error Lower Upper ----- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1 0.5671479 0.0822444 0.4045806 0.7164384 Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.05 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:40 Page 005 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc stop; Time in minutes for this job was 0.00 E X E C U T I O N S U C C E S S F U L ?Q?Q?Q?G Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:45:06 Page 001 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc title Black Duck Radio-tracking Data; Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.00 INPUT --- proc chmatrix occasions=8 groups=1 etype=Known icovar=4 INPUT --- ICMeans NoHist hist=300; INPUT --- glabel(1)=Group 1; INPUT --- time interval 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1; INPUT --- icovariates Age Weight Wing_Len condix; Number of unique encounter histories read was 48. Number of individual covariates read was 4. Time interval lengths are all equal to 1. Data type is Known Fates. Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.02 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:45:06 Page 002 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc estimate link=Logit varest=2ndPart ; INPUT --- model={S(min<0)}; INPUT --- group=1 S rows=1 cols=8 Square Time=1; INPUT --- design matrix constraints=8 covariates=2; INPUT --- 1 4; INPUT --- 1 6; INPUT --- 1 7; INPUT --- 1 7; INPUT --- 1 7; INPUT --- 1 6; INPUT --- 1 5; INPUT --- 1 5; INPUT --- blabel(1)=Intercept; INPUT --- blabel(2)=min<0; INPUT --- rlabel(1)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(2)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(3)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(4)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(5)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(6)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(7)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(8)=S; Link Function Used is LOGIT Variance Estimation Procedure Used is 2ndPart -2logL(saturated) = 0.0000000 Effective Sample Size = 284 Number of function evaluations was 14 for 2 parameters. Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:45:06 Page 003 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Time for numerical optimization was 0.01 seconds. -2logL {S(min<0)} = 128.55189 Penalty {S(min<0)} = 0.0000000 Gradient {S(min<0)}: -0.4578423E-05-0.6484967E-05 S Vector {S(min<0)}: 30.58780 0.1334744 Time to compute number of parameters was 0.01 seconds. Threshold = 0.6000000E-07 Condition index = 0.4363647E-02 Conditioned S Vector {S(min<0)}: 1.000000 0.4363647E-02 Number of Estimated Parameters {S(min<0)} = 2 DEVIANCE {S(min<0)} = 128.55189 DEVIANCE Degrees of Freedom {S(min<0)} = 46 c-hat {S(min<0)} = 2.7946062 AIC {S(min<0)} = 132.55189 AICc {S(min<0)} = 132.59459 BIC {S(min<0)} = 139.84984 Pearson Chisquare {S(min<0)} = 903.53425 LOGIT Link Function Parameters of {S(min<0)} 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Beta Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1:Intercept 6.4493004 1.8628939 2.7980283 10.100572 2:min<0 -0.6084640 0.2876504 -1.1722588 -0.0446693 Real Function Parameters of {S(min<0)} 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Estimate Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1:S 0.9822846 0.0128447 0.9288203 0.9957737 2:S 0.9425956 0.0148167 0.9056644 0.9656176 3:S 0.8993526 0.0268950 0.8330901 0.9411669 4:S 0.8993526 0.0268950 0.8330901 0.9411669 5:S 0.8993526 0.0268950 0.8330901 0.9411669 6:S 0.9425956 0.0148167 0.9056644 0.9656176 7:S 0.9679220 0.0147986 0.9222131 0.9871459 8:S 0.9679220 0.0147986 0.9222131 0.9871459 Estimates of Derived Parameters Survival Estimates of {S(min<0)} Pr. Surviving Duration of 95% Confidence Interval Group Study Standard Error Lower Upper ----- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1 0.5947834 0.0729039 0.4479155 0.7264425 Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.02 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:45:06 Page 004 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc stop; Time in minutes for this job was 0.00 E X E C U T I O N S U C C E S S F U L -----p 1100000000000000 1.0 0.9210 1011000000000000 1.0 2.4276 1011000000000000 1.0 3.2818 1010000000000000 1.0 44.4498 1010000000000000 1.0 43.9170 1010110000000000 1.0 4.5361 1010000000000000 1.0 44.1250 1010110000000000 1.0 1.9563 1010000000000000 1.0 43.9524 1010101100000000 1.0 4.4637 1010101100000000 1.0 4.7812 1010101100000000 1.0 5.5486 1010101100000000 1.0 3.2021 1010101100000000 1.0 4.0996 1010101000000000 1.0 40.6232 1010101011000000 1.0 4.7241 1010101011000000 1.0 4.4613 1010101000000000 1.0 38.2466 1010101011000000 1.0 3.4250 1010101011000000 1.0 2.6499 1010101010110000 1.0 1.5383 1010101010110000 1.0 2.1470 1010101010110000 1.0 2.2642 1010101010101100 1.0 1.0725 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9779 1010101010101010 1.0 33.0613 1010101010101010 1.0 32.2629 1010101010101010 1.0 25.0313 1010101010101010 1.0 33.6133 1010101010101010 1.0 32.7227 1010101010101010 1.0 27.0182 1010101010101010 1.0 26.4592 1010101010101010 1.0 28.2476 1010101010101010 1.0 23.2677 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9779 1010101010101010 1.0 31.4351 1010101010101010 1.0 22.9693 1010101010101010 1.0 32.1464 1010101010101010 1.0 22.2187 1010101010101010 1.0 29.8213 1010101010101010 1.0 29.9489 1010101010101010 1.0 33.8298 1010101010101010 1.0 36.6068 1010101010101010 1.0 32.7227 1010101010101010 1.0 32.1464 1010101010101010 1.0 29.6932 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9779 1010101010101010 1.0 26.1771 C1@0,BINARY BETA PARYa\0?BETA SE aO(Ҍ @7?BETA LCI–TfdoaBETA UCIrWGp,@ZN@ROW 15A&@ʁ\ROW 2ʁ\!??HREAL PAR: [.?: [.?: [.?: [.?: [.?: [.?: [.?: [.?HHREAL SE 6!?6!?6!?6!?6!?6!?6!?6!?HHREAL LCI:6kk?:6kk?:6kk?:6kk?:6kk?:6kk?:6kk?:6kk?HHREAL UCI????????HHROW 1[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?HHROW 2[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?HHROW 3[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?HHROW 4[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?HHROW 5[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?HHROW 6[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?HHROW 7[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?HHROW 8[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?[(+?H DERIVED  DERV PAR[:A?DERV SE kj( ?DERV LCIl?DERV UCI%e@?ROW 1I'v? 5.21R Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:41 Page 001 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc title Black Duck Radio-tracking Data; Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.00 INPUT --- proc chmatrix occasions=8 groups=1 etype=Known icovar=4 INPUT --- ICMeans hist=300 NoHist; INPUT --- glabel(1)=Group 1; INPUT --- time interval 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1; INPUT --- icovariates Age Weight Wing_Len condix; Number of unique encounter histories read was 48. Number of individual covariates read was 4. Time interval lengths are all equal to 1. Data type is Known Fates. Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.03 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:41 Page 002 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc estimate link=Logit varest=2ndPart; INPUT --- model={S(.)}; INPUT --- group=1 S rows=1 cols=8 Square Time=1; INPUT --- initial 2.6931245; INPUT --- design matrix constraints=8 covariates=1; INPUT --- 1; INPUT --- 1; INPUT --- 1; INPUT --- 1; INPUT --- 1; INPUT --- 1; INPUT --- 1; INPUT --- 1; INPUT --- blabel(1)=Intercept; INPUT --- rlabel(1)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(2)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(3)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(4)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(5)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(6)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(7)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(8)=S; Link Function Used is LOGIT Variance Estimation Procedure Used is 2ndPart -2logL(saturated) = 0.0000000 Effective Sample Size = 284 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:41 Page 003 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Results from first iteration: -2logL Initial {S(.)} = 134.14395 Penalty Initial {S(.)} = 0.0000000 Number of function evaluations was 1 for 1 parameters. Time for numerical optimization was 0.01 seconds. -2logL {S(.)} = 134.14395 Penalty {S(.)} = 0.0000000 Gradient {S(.)}: -0.3078338E-05 S Vector {S(.)}: 16.85916 Time to compute number of parameters was 0.01 seconds. Threshold = 0.4000000E-07 Condition index = 1.000000 Conditioned S Vector {S(.)}: 1.000000 Number of Estimated Parameters {S(.)} = 1 DEVIANCE {S(.)} = 134.14395 DEVIANCE Degrees of Freedom {S(.)} = 47 c-hat {S(.)} = 2.8541265 AIC {S(.)} = 136.14395 AICc {S(.)} = 136.15813 BIC {S(.)} = 139.79292 Pearson Chisquare {S(.)} = 881.49862 LOGIT Link Function Parameters of {S(.)} 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Beta Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1:Intercept 2.6931245 0.2435466 2.2157731 3.1704759 Real Function Parameters of {S(.)} 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Estimate Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1:S 0.9366197 0.0144577 0.9016570 0.9597080 2:S 0.9366197 0.0144577 0.9016570 0.9597080 3:S 0.9366197 0.0144577 0.9016570 0.9597080 4:S 0.9366197 0.0144577 0.9016570 0.9597080 5:S 0.9366197 0.0144577 0.9016570 0.9597080 6:S 0.9366197 0.0144577 0.9016570 0.9597080 7:S 0.9366197 0.0144577 0.9016570 0.9597080 8:S 0.9366197 0.0144577 0.9016570 0.9597080 Estimates of Derived Parameters Survival Estimates of {S(.)} Pr. Surviving Duration of 95% Confidence Interval Group Study Standard Error Lower Upper ----- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1 0.5922518 0.0731362 0.4451435 0.7244965 Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.02 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:41 Page 004 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc stop; Time in minutes for this job was 0.00 E X E C U T I O N S U C C E S S F U L p 1100000000000000 1.0 3.0423 1011000000000000 1.0 2.8494 1011000000000000 1.0 2.8494 1010000000000000 1.0 42.1083 1010000000000000 1.0 42.1083 1010110000000000 1.0 2.6688 1010000000000000 1.0 42.1083 1010110000000000 1.0 2.6688 1010000000000000 1.0 42.1083 1010101100000000 1.0 2.4997 1010101100000000 1.0 2.4997 1010101100000000 1.0 2.4997 1010101100000000 1.0 2.4997 1010101100000000 1.0 2.4997 1010101000000000 1.0 36.9398 1010101011000000 1.0 2.3413 1010101011000000 1.0 2.3413 1010101000000000 1.0 36.9398 1010101011000000 1.0 2.3413 1010101011000000 1.0 2.3413 1010101010110000 1.0 2.1929 1010101010110000 1.0 2.1929 1010101010110000 1.0 2.1929 1010101010101100 1.0 2.0539 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4281 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4281 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4281 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4281 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4281 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4281 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4281 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4281 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4281 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4281 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4281 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4281 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4281 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4281 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4281 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4281 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4281 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4281 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4281 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4281 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4281 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4281 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4281 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4281  Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:58:01 Page 001 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc title Black Duck Radio-tracking Data; Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.00 INPUT --- proc chmatrix occasions=8 groups=1 etype=Known icovar=4 INPUT --- ICMeans NoHist hist=300; INPUT --- glabel(1)=Group 1; INPUT --- time interval 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1; INPUT --- icovariates Age Weight Wing_Len condix; Number of unique encounter histories read was 48. Number of individual covariates read was 4. Time interval lengths are all equal to 1. Data type is Known Fates. Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.00 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:58:01 Page 002 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc estimate link=Logit varest=2ndPart ; INPUT --- model={S(Age+Weight)}; INPUT --- group=1 S rows=1 cols=8 Square Time=1; INPUT --- design matrix constraints=8 covariates=3; INPUT --- 1 Age Weight; INPUT --- 1 Age Weight; INPUT --- 1 Age Weight; INPUT --- 1 Age Weight; INPUT --- 1 Age Weight; INPUT --- 1 Age Weight; INPUT --- 1 Age Weight; INPUT --- 1 Age Weight; INPUT --- blabel(1)=Intercept; INPUT --- blabel(2)=Age; INPUT --- blabel(3)=Weight; INPUT --- rlabel(1)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(2)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(3)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(4)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(5)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(6)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(7)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(8)=S; Link Function Used is LOGIT Variance Estimation Procedure Used is 2ndPart -2logL(saturated) = 0.0000000 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:58:01 Page 003 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Effective Sample Size = 284 Number of function evaluations was 20 for 3 parameters. Time for numerical optimization was 0.02 seconds. -2logL {S(Age+Weight)} = 132.19318 Penalty {S(Age+Weight)} = 0.0000000 Gradient {S(Age+Weight)}: 0.1259284E-04-0.1930495E-05 0.7295594E-05 S Vector {S(Age+Weight)}: 29.69308 3.375451 0.3691222E-01 Time to compute number of parameters was 0.01 seconds. Threshold = 0.8000000E-07 Condition index = 0.1243126E-02 Conditioned S Vector {S(Age+Weight)}: 1.000000 0.1136781 0.1243126E-02 Number of Estimated Parameters {S(Age+Weight)} = 3 DEVIANCE {S(Age+Weight)} = 132.19318 DEVIANCE Degrees of Freedom {S(Age+Weight)} = 45 c-hat {S(Age+Weight)} = 2.9376262 AIC {S(Age+Weight)} = 138.19318 AICc {S(Age+Weight)} = 138.27889 BIC {S(Age+Weight)} = 149.14010 Pearson Chisquare {S(Age+Weight)} = 909.17105 LOGIT Link Function Parameters of {S(Age+Weight)} 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Beta Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1:Intercept -1.7083875 3.2134313 -8.0067128 4.5899379 2:Age -0.4722500 0.5766753 -1.6025337 0.6580337 3:Weight 3.9596996 2.8832449 -1.6914606 9.6108599 Real Function Parameters of {S(Age+Weight)} Following estimates based on unstandardized individual covariate values: Variable Value --------- ------------- AGE 0.3750000 WEIGHT 1.1591667 WING_LEN 26.972917 CONDIX 4.2954167 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Estimate Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1:S 0.9372899 0.0147123 0.9014883 0.9606483 2:S 0.9372899 0.0147123 0.9014883 0.9606483 3:S 0.9372899 0.0147123 0.9014883 0.9606483 4:S 0.9372899 0.0147123 0.9014883 0.9606483 5:S 0.9372899 0.0147123 0.9014883 0.9606483 6:S 0.9372899 0.0147123 0.9014883 0.9606483 7:S 0.9372899 0.0147123 0.9014883 0.9606483 8:S 0.9372899 0.0147123 0.9014883 0.9606483 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:58:01 Page 004 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Estimates of Derived Parameters Survival Estimates of {S(Age+Weight)} Pr. Surviving Duration of 95% Confidence Interval Group Study Standard Error Lower Upper ----- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1 0.5956506 0.0747977 0.4448960 0.7302842 Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.03 INPUT --- proc stop; Time in minutes for this job was 0.00 E X E C U T I O N S U C C E S S F U L 1.0 42.2741 10p 1100000000000000 1.0 3.9464 1011000000000000 1.0 2.4052 1011000000000000 1.0 4.6805 1010000000000000 1.0 42.2839 1010000000000000 1.0 39.8893 1010110000000000 1.0 2.9422 1010000000000000 1.0 38.7061 1010110000000000 1.0 1.3974 1010000000000000 1.0 39.3145 1010101100000000 1.0 3.4627 1010101100000000 1.0 2.8170 1010101100000000 1.0 3.8817 1010101100000000 1.0 1.6653 1010101100000000 1.0 2.4379 1010101000000000 1.0 40.4176 1010101011000000 1.0 2.9994 1010101011000000 1.0 2.8048 1010101000000000 1.0 37.6320 1010101011000000 1.0 1.8131 1010101011000000 1.0 1.4056 1010101010110000 1.0 1.4914 1010101010110000 1.0 2.3090 1010101010110000 1.0 3.0526 1010101010101100 1.0 2.3614 1010101010101010 1.0 29.4628 1010101010101010 1.0 33.1035 1010101010101010 1.0 32.0927 1010101010101010 1.0 25.9753 1010101010101010 1.0 30.0499 1010101010101010 1.0 36.1329 1010101010101010 1.0 26.5792 1010101010101010 1.0 20.9499 1010101010101010 1.0 30.5468 1010101010101010 1.0 23.4846 1010101010101010 1.0 31.0730 1010101010101010 1.0 32.0927 1010101010101010 1.0 24.7440 1010101010101010 1.0 31.1113 1010101010101010 1.0 24.7440 1010101010101010 1.0 31.0730 1010101010101010 1.0 30.5468 1010101010101010 1.0 30.5859 1010101010101010 1.0 35.3436 1010101010101010 1.0 27.8037 1010101010101010 1.0 33.9996 1010101010101010 1.0 30.0100 1010101010101010 1.0 30.0100 1010101010101010 1.0 28.9053 u?nxROW 2m&w6-H?HREAL PARhL?hL?hL?hL?hL?hL?hL?hL?HHREAL SE yލ?yލ?yލ?yލ?yލ?yލ?yލ?yލ?HHREAL LCIIo.?Io.?Io.?Io.?Io.?Io.?Io.?Io.?HHREAL UCI(?(?(?(?(?(?(?(?HHROW 1AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?HHROW 2AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?HHROW 3AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?HHROW 4AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?HHROW 5AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?HHROW 6AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?HHROW 7AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?HHROW 8AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?AJ"+?H DERIVED  DERV PAR@E&?DERV SE {Zײ?DERV LCInV?DERV UCIg )?ROW 1"1v? -0.625 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:55:37 Page 001 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc title Black Duck Radio-tracking Data; Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.00 INPUT --- proc chmatrix occasions=8 groups=1 etype=Known icovar=4 INPUT --- Standardize ICMeans NoHist hist=300; INPUT --- glabel(1)=Group 1; INPUT --- time interval 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1; INPUT --- icovariates Age Weight Wing_Len condix; Number of unique encounter histories read was 48. Number of individual covariates read was 4. Time interval lengths are all equal to 1. Data type is Known Fates. Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.02 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:55:37 Page 002 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc estimate link=Logit varest=2ndPart ; INPUT --- model={S(min<0+Age+Weight)}; INPUT --- group=1 S rows=1 cols=8 Square Time=1; INPUT --- design matrix constraints=8 covariates=4; INPUT --- 1 4 Age Weight; INPUT --- 1 6 Age Weight; INPUT --- 1 7 Age Weight; INPUT --- 1 7 Age Weight; INPUT --- 1 7 Age Weight; INPUT --- 1 6 Age Weight; INPUT --- 1 5 Age Weight; INPUT --- 1 5 Age Weight; INPUT --- blabel(1)=Intercept; INPUT --- blabel(2)=min<0; INPUT --- blabel(3)=age; INPUT --- blabel(4)=weight; INPUT --- rlabel(1)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(2)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(3)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(4)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(5)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(6)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(7)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(8)=S; Link Function Used is LOGIT Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:55:37 Page 003 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Variance Estimation Procedure Used is 2ndPart -2logL(saturated) = 0.0000000 Effective Sample Size = 284 Number of function evaluations was 22 for 4 parameters. Time for numerical optimization was 0.02 seconds. -2logL {S(min<0+Age+Weight)} = 126.44581 Penalty {S(min<0+Age+Weight)} = 0.0000000 Gradient {S(min<0+Age+Weight)}: 0.3783363E-06 0.2669312E-06-0.2108375E-05-0.2076557E-05 S Vector {S(min<0+Age+Weight)}: 30.53461 9.735369 1.689840 0.1325974 Time to compute number of parameters was 0.01 seconds. Threshold = 0.1000000E-06 Condition index = 0.4342527E-02 Conditioned S Vector {S(min<0+Age+Weight)}: 1.000000 0.3188307 0.5534180E-01 0.4342527E-02 Number of Estimated Parameters {S(min<0+Age+Weight)} = 4 DEVIANCE {S(min<0+Age+Weight)} = 126.44581 DEVIANCE Degrees of Freedom {S(min<0+Age+Weight)} = 44 c-hat {S(min<0+Age+Weight)} = 2.8737684 AIC {S(min<0+Age+Weight)} = 134.44581 AICc {S(min<0+Age+Weight)} = 134.58918 BIC {S(min<0+Age+Weight)} = 149.04170 Pearson Chisquare {S(min<0+Age+Weight)} = 931.77958 LOGIT Link Function Parameters of {S(min<0+Age+Weight)} 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Beta Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1:Intercept 6.5122866 1.8687669 2.8495035 10.175070 2:min<0 -0.6176842 0.2886626 -1.1834629 -0.0519055 3:age -0.2724424 0.2870656 -0.8350909 0.2902062 4:weight 0.4039652 0.2868468 -0.1582546 0.9661849 Real Function Parameters of {S(min<0+Age+Weight)} Following estimates based on standardized individual covariate values: Variable Value Mean SD --------- ------------- ------------- ------------- AGE 0.0 0.3750000 0.4892461 WEIGHT 0.0 1.1591667 0.1000603 WING_LEN 0.0 26.972917 0.6667609 CONDIX 0.0 4.2954167 0.3368816 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Estimate Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1:S 0.9827332 0.0125786 0.9301269 0.9959073 2:S 0.9430089 0.0150108 0.9054017 0.9662233 3:S 0.8992118 0.0275266 0.8310653 0.9417940 4:S 0.8992118 0.0275266 0.8310653 0.9417940 5:S 0.8992118 0.0275266 0.8310653 0.9417940 6:S 0.9430089 0.0150108 0.9054017 0.9662233 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:55:37 Page 004 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 7:S 0.9684421 0.0146706 0.9229420 0.9874415 8:S 0.9684421 0.0146706 0.9229420 0.9874415 Estimates of Derived Parameters Survival Estimates of {S(min<0+Age+Weight)} Pr. Surviving Duration of 95% Confidence Interval Group Study Standard Error Lower Upper ----- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1 0.5959373 0.0747069 0.4453383 0.7304004 Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.03 INPUT --- proc stop; Time in minutes for this job was 0.00 E X E C U T I O N S U C C E S S F U L BINARY (BETA PAR1sܔ @7cR3oѿT?((BETA SE x?$ry?C^sQH_?A3[?((BETA LCITQ}@svXɏAĿ((BETA UCIY$@v[z޼?Pm7?((ROW 1޺D5 @ə5ῷ$ZRFh?((ROW 2ș5,T?Fs?&'MS((ROW 3$ZFs?¬Q#?Uy?sM?.-#?.-#?.-#?sM?`f?`f?HHROW 1K[$?C:Q!?|.|.|.C:Q!?oX0Ԭ'?oX0Ԭ'?HHROW 2C:Q!?]-?+?+?+?]-?];(?];(?HHROW 3|.+?&H?&H?&H?R+? 7 7HHROW 4|.+?&H?&H?&H?R+? 7 7HHROW 5|.+?&H?&H?&H?R+? 7 7HHROW 6C:Q!?]-?R+?R+?R+?]-?];(?];(?HHROW 7oX0Ԭ'?];(? 7 7 7];(?]55,?]55,?HHROW 8oX0Ԭ'?];(? 7 7 7];(?]55,?]55,?H DERIVED  DERV PARCn#?DERV SE '?DERV LCIV?l?DERV UCI$ p_?ROW 1Xq;v?01010101100BINARY  BETA PAR%'@-?Tv_FkH@ BETA SE +V @j?yfKO @ BETA LCI^Y򿢼'iB BETA UCI^1"$@ 'N.L @ ROW 11)@J6?fAῊ{մ ROW 2J6?fAῡt.3?D |{? ROW 3{մD |{?ZgY@ HREAL PARq?B 5?K?K?K?B 5?|L?|L?HHREAL SE -W݉? <\>?Z*s?Z*s?Z*s? <\>? zՍ? zՍ?HHREAL LCI+E֣?M ?"?"?"?M ?}~I!?}~I!?HHREAL UCI搣&?!G?=/0?=/0?=/0?!G?_ ?_ ?HHROW 1Ѵ$?^ec!?K`%K`%K`%^ec!?NUV'?NUV'?HHROW 2^ec!?*xf,?_*?_*?_*?*xf,?*~'?*~'?HHROW 3K`%_*?IG?IG?IG?_*?_>gP_>gPHHROW 4K`%_*?IG?IG?IG?_*?_>gP_>gPHHROW 5K`%_*?IG?IG?IG?_*?_>gP_>gPHHROW 6^ec!?*xf,?_*?_*?_*?*xf,?*~'?*~'?HHROW 7NUV'?*~'?_>gP_>gP_>gP*~'?̪+?̪+?HHROW 8NUV'?*~'?_>gP_>gP_>gP*~'?̪+?̪+?H DERIVED  DERV PAR-I?DERV SE Ӏ?DERV LCIv6i?DERV UCI|?ROW 1 L(gv?z?DERV SE Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:58:41 Page 001 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc title Black Duck Radio-tracking Data; Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.00 INPUT --- proc chmatrix occasions=8 groups=1 etype=Known icovar=4 INPUT --- ICMeans NoHist hist=300; INPUT --- glabel(1)=Group 1; INPUT --- time interval 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1; INPUT --- icovariates Age Weight Wing_Len condix; Number of unique encounter histories read was 48. Number of individual covariates read was 4. Time interval lengths are all equal to 1. Data type is Known Fates. Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.02 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:58:41 Page 002 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc estimate link=Sin varest=2ndPart ; INPUT --- model={S(t)}; INPUT --- group=1 S rows=1 cols=8 Square Time=1; INPUT --- design matrix constraints=8 covariates=8; INPUT --- 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0; INPUT --- 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0; INPUT --- 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0; INPUT --- 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0; INPUT --- 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0; INPUT --- 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0; INPUT --- 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0; INPUT --- 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1; INPUT --- blabel(1)=; INPUT --- blabel(2)=; INPUT --- blabel(3)=; INPUT --- blabel(4)=; INPUT --- blabel(5)=; INPUT --- blabel(6)=; INPUT --- blabel(7)=; INPUT --- blabel(8)=; INPUT --- rlabel(1)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(2)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(3)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(4)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(5)=S; Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:58:41 Page 003 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- rlabel(6)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(7)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(8)=S; Link Function Used is SIN Variance Estimation Procedure Used is 2ndPart -2logL(saturated) = 0.0000000 Effective Sample Size = 284 Number of function evaluations was 23 for 8 parameters. Time for numerical optimization was 0.01 seconds. -2logL {S(t)} = 123.69500 Penalty {S(t)} = 0.0000000 Gradient {S(t)}: -0.4360860E-05-0.1054979E-04-0.8023452E-05-0.3864957E-05-0.7689598E-06 0.1492854E-05-0.5899121E-05 0.000000 S Vector {S(t)}: 48.00001 46.99999 41.00000 39.00000 31.99999 28.00000 25.00000 12.00000 Time to compute number of parameters was 0.02 seconds. Threshold = 0.1800000E-06 Condition index = 0.2499999 Conditioned S Vector {S(t)}: 1.000000 0.9791663 0.8541664 0.8124999 0.6666664 0.5833332 0.5208333 0.2499999 Number of Estimated Parameters {S(t)} = 8 DEVIANCE {S(t)} = 123.69500 DEVIANCE Degrees of Freedom {S(t)} = 40 c-hat {S(t)} = 3.0923749 AIC {S(t)} = 139.69500 AICc {S(t)} = 140.21863 BIC {S(t)} = 168.88679 Pearson Chisquare {S(t)} = 904.88565 SIN Link Function Parameters of {S(t)} 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Beta Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1: 1.2811094 0.1443376 0.9982078 1.5640110 2: 1.1552443 0.1458650 0.8693489 1.4411397 3: 1.1253977 0.1561738 0.8192971 1.4314983 4: 0.8384232 0.1601282 0.5245721 1.1522744 5: 0.8480621 0.1767767 0.5015797 1.1945444 6: 0.9038500 0.1889822 0.5334448 1.2742552 7: 1.1680806 0.2000000 0.7760806 1.5600806 8: 1.5707963 0.2886752 1.0049930 2.1365997 Real Function Parameters of {S(t)} 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Estimate Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:58:41 Page 004 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1:S 0.9791667 0.0206152 0.8663896 0.9970731 2:S 0.9574468 0.0294425 0.8451585 0.9893333 3:S 0.9512195 0.0336412 0.8248260 0.9877685 4:S 0.8717949 0.0535337 0.7267395 0.9456127 5:S 0.8750000 0.0584634 0.7105889 0.9522830 6:S 0.8928572 0.0584512 0.7155886 0.9650359 7:S 0.9600000 0.0391918 0.7645227 0.9943950 8:S 1.0000000 0.3041687E-008 1.0000000 1.0000000 Estimates of Derived Parameters Survival Estimates of {S(t)} Pr. Surviving Duration of 95% Confidence Interval Group Study Standard Error Lower Upper ----- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1 0.5830793 0.0756366 0.4318272 0.7201598 Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.03 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:58:41 Page 005 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc stop; Time in minutes for this job was 0.00 E X E C U T I O N S U C C E S S F U L 1.0 39.3145 1p 1100000000000000 1.0 1.0000 1011000000000000 1.0 2.0000 1011000000000000 1.0 2.0000 1010000000000000 1.0 45.0000 1010000000000000 1.0 45.0000 1010110000000000 1.0 2.1951 1010000000000000 1.0 45.0000 1010110000000000 1.0 2.1951 1010000000000000 1.0 45.0000 1010101100000000 1.0 5.4878 1010101100000000 1.0 5.4878 1010101100000000 1.0 5.4878 1010101100000000 1.0 5.4878 1010101100000000 1.0 5.4878 1010101000000000 1.0 37.3171 1010101011000000 1.0 4.6646 1010101011000000 1.0 4.6646 1010101000000000 1.0 37.3171 1010101011000000 1.0 4.6646 1010101011000000 1.0 4.6646 1010101010110000 1.0 3.4985 1010101010110000 1.0 3.4985 1010101010110000 1.0 3.4985 1010101010101100 1.0 1.1662 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 SE ڸ~!?x~!?x~!?x~!?x~!?x~!?x~!?HHREAL LCIGm?Gm?Gm?Gm?Gm?Gm?Gm?Gm?HHREAL UCI!m|?!m|?!m|?!m|?!m|?!m|?!m|?!m|?HHROW 1;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?HHROW 2;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?HHROW 3;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?HHROW 4;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?HHROW 5;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?HHROW 6;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?HHROW 7;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?HHROW 8;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?;r1^,?H DERIVED  DERV PAR?DERV SE <%?DERV LCIC -y?DERV UCI}^?ROW 12ixv? rlabel(4)=S;  Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:43 Page 001 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc title Black Duck Radio-tracking Data; Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.00 INPUT --- proc chmatrix occasions=8 groups=1 etype=Known icovar=4 INPUT --- ICMeans hist=300 NoHist; INPUT --- glabel(1)=Group 1; INPUT --- time interval 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1; INPUT --- icovariates Age Weight Wing_Len condix; Number of unique encounter histories read was 48. Number of individual covariates read was 4. Time interval lengths are all equal to 1. Data type is Known Fates. Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.03 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:43 Page 002 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc estimate link=Sin varest=2ndPart; INPUT --- model={S(t)}; INPUT --- group=1 S rows=1 cols=8 Square Time=1; INPUT --- initial 1.2811094 1.1552443 1.1253977 0.8384232 0.8480621 INPUT --- 0.9038500 1.1680806 1.5707963; INPUT --- design matrix constraints=8 covariates=8 identity; INPUT --- blabel(1)=; INPUT --- blabel(2)=; INPUT --- blabel(3)=; INPUT --- blabel(4)=; INPUT --- blabel(5)=; INPUT --- blabel(6)=; INPUT --- blabel(7)=; INPUT --- blabel(8)=; INPUT --- rlabel(1)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(2)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(3)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(4)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(5)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(6)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(7)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(8)=S; Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:43 Page 003 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Link Function Used is SIN Variance Estimation Procedure Used is 2ndPart -2logL(saturated) = 0.0000000 Effective Sample Size = 284 Results from first iteration: -2logL Initial {S(t)} = 123.69500 Penalty Initial {S(t)} = 0.0000000 Number of function evaluations was 1 for 8 parameters. Time for numerical optimization was 0.01 seconds. -2logL {S(t)} = 123.69500 Penalty {S(t)} = 0.0000000 Gradient {S(t)}: 0.1370556E-04 0.7252978E-05 0.7354831E-05 0.1391385E-04 0.000000 0.2239282E-05 0.1048733E-04 0.000000 S Vector {S(t)}: 48.00002 47.00000 41.00000 39.00000 32.00000 28.00000 25.00001 12.00000 Time to compute number of parameters was 0.01 seconds. Threshold = 0.1800000E-06 Condition index = 0.2499999 Conditioned S Vector {S(t)}: 1.000000 0.9791663 0.8541664 0.8124997 0.6666665 0.5833332 0.5208333 0.2499999 Number of Estimated Parameters {S(t)} = 8 DEVIANCE {S(t)} = 123.69500 DEVIANCE Degrees of Freedom {S(t)} = 40 c-hat {S(t)} = 3.0923749 AIC {S(t)} = 139.69500 AICc {S(t)} = 140.21863 BIC {S(t)} = 168.88679 Pearson Chisquare {S(t)} = 904.88564 SIN Link Function Parameters of {S(t)} 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Beta Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1: 1.2811094 0.1443375 0.9982078 1.5640110 2: 1.1552443 0.1458650 0.8693489 1.4411397 3: 1.1253977 0.1561738 0.8192971 1.4314983 4: 0.8384232 0.1601282 0.5245720 1.1522744 5: 0.8480621 0.1767767 0.5015798 1.1945444 6: 0.9038500 0.1889822 0.5334448 1.2742552 7: 1.1680806 0.2000000 0.7760807 1.5600805 8: 1.5707963 0.2886751 1.0049930 2.1365996 Real Function Parameters of {S(t)} 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Estimate Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1:S 0.9791667 0.0206152 0.8663896 0.9970731 2:S 0.9574468 0.0294425 0.8451585 0.9893333 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:43 Page 004 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 3:S 0.9512195 0.0336412 0.8248260 0.9877685 4:S 0.8717949 0.0535337 0.7267395 0.9456127 5:S 0.8750000 0.0584634 0.7105890 0.9522830 6:S 0.8928571 0.0584512 0.7155886 0.9650359 7:S 0.9600000 0.0391918 0.7645228 0.9943950 8:S 1.0000000 0.4301595E-008 1.0000000 1.0000000 Estimates of Derived Parameters Survival Estimates of {S(t)} Pr. Surviving Duration of 95% Confidence Interval Group Study Standard Error Lower Upper ----- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1 0.5830793 0.0756366 0.4318272 0.7201598 Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.02 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:43 Page 005 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc stop; Time in minutes for this job was 0.00 E X E C U T I O N S U C C E S S F U L ,4?c,p 1100000000000000 1.0 1.0000 1011000000000000 1.0 2.0000 1011000000000000 1.0 2.0000 1010000000000000 1.0 45.0000 1010000000000000 1.0 45.0000 1010110000000000 1.0 2.1951 1010000000000000 1.0 45.0000 1010110000000000 1.0 2.1951 1010000000000000 1.0 45.0000 1010101100000000 1.0 5.4878 1010101100000000 1.0 5.4878 1010101100000000 1.0 5.4878 1010101100000000 1.0 5.4878 1010101100000000 1.0 5.4878 1010101000000000 1.0 37.3171 1010101011000000 1.0 4.6646 1010101011000000 1.0 4.6646 1010101000000000 1.0 37.3171 1010101011000000 1.0 4.6646 1010101011000000 1.0 4.6646 1010101010110000 1.0 3.4985 1010101010110000 1.0 3.4985 1010101010110000 1.0 3.4985 1010101010101100 1.0 1.1662 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 INPUT -BINARY HBETA PAR(l?!?vr{??6\?AD!S#?ΪV?yHu?JM!?HHBETA SE y?U$@?4N{?LjR?IW?+K 0?^MS? (g@y?HHBETA LCIQ?`k̴?iՖ7?n{=K?D ?a?~?X's?HHBETA UCIZ*d0?~?$j?HEo?4?NhYc?19?DP@HHROW 1TU?ej=Sx=|*=b$B>W=/Zim>HHROW 2Aej=6ɕ?u ^ =YYYsؽX0ҽ= OlHHROW 31Sx=sU^ =M?Ф<`5vycF+_ֈ6<{ĄHHROW 4}*=t XཋL1 A?!w">@b!=V >HHROW 5c$B>9sؽ 0h[pwt?%UK>ZQBzHHROW 6W=Hҽ&@ETK>0֌$I?,w+н郾D&HHROW 7/Zim>oh<܇!FZ;<(v!='MUq * { >g~$> kD&|֢ƃjIUU?HHREAL PAR!|ZUU?<{g? cp?dZ?_^?'I?Q??HHREAL SE $?T7+&?c-k9?vh?Q?#rQ?՚l9? (g@y2>HHREAL LCI v?p ?^}d?*D"sA?w %?~?Ppv?!iuB?5|,y??cj?aC?HHROW 1Q;?[87^=Т1*'t=B>*s=kn== R= ZZ/=uc>HHHROW 2[87^=oOſgL?ЩPZ!Ɏ=,%39y,fJ"< ʝ"R*s=,%i" _%zg?QC\ས'0=!W=k$fH ʝ"RQ?ROW 1,s?2>sROW 2 2>sI?HREAL PARݸL?ݸL?ݸL?ݸL?ݸL?ݸL?ݸL?ݸL?HHREAL SE 7Gލ?7Gލ?7Gލ?7Gލ?7Gލ?7Gލ?7Gލ?7Gލ?HHREAL LCI4r.?4r.?4r.?4r.?4r.?4r.?4r.?4r.?HHREAL UCI/x?/x?/x?/x?/x?/x?/x?/x?HHROW 1+?+?+?+?+?+?+?+?HHROW 2+?+?+?+?+?+?+?+?HHROW 3+?+?+?+?+?+?+?+?HHROW 4+?+?+?+?+?+?+?+?HHROW 5+?+?+?+?+?+?+?+?HHROW 6+?+?+?+?+?+?+?+?HHROW 7+?+?+?+?+?+?+?+?HHROW 8+?+?+?+?+?+?+?+?H DERIVED  DERV PAR|T&?DERV SE M(]ײ?DERV LCITV?DERV UCI#A)?ROW 1"1v?L+? Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Apr-2009 20:22:50 Page 001 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc title Black Duck Radio-tracking Data; Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.00 INPUT --- proc chmatrix occasions=8 groups=1 etype=Known icovar=4 INPUT --- ICMeans hist=300 NoHist; INPUT --- glabel(1)=Group 1; INPUT --- time interval 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1; INPUT --- icovariates Age Weight Wing_Len condix; Number of unique encounter histories read was 48. Number of individual covariates read was 4. Time interval lengths are all equal to 1. Data type is Known Fates. Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.02 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Apr-2009 20:22:50 Page 002 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc estimate link=Logit varest=2ndPart; INPUT --- model={S(Wing_Len)}; INPUT --- group=1 S rows=1 cols=8 Square Time=1; INPUT --- initial 2.8949379 -0.0074858; INPUT --- design matrix constraints=8 covariates=2; INPUT --- 1 Wing_Len; INPUT --- 1 Wing_Len; INPUT --- 1 Wing_Len; INPUT --- 1 Wing_Len; INPUT --- 1 Wing_Len; INPUT --- 1 Wing_Len; INPUT --- 1 Wing_Len; INPUT --- 1 Wing_Len; INPUT --- blabel(1)=Intercept; INPUT --- blabel(2)=Wing_Len; INPUT --- rlabel(1)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(2)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(3)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(4)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(5)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(6)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(7)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(8)=S; Link Function Used is LOGIT Variance Estimation Procedure Used is 2ndPart -2logL(saturated) = 0.0000000 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Apr-2009 20:22:50 Page 003 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Effective Sample Size = 284 Results from first iteration: -2logL Initial {S(Wing_Len)} = 134.74827 Penalty Initial {S(Wing_Len)} = 0.0000000 Number of function evaluations was 13 for 2 parameters. Time for numerical optimization was 0.01 seconds. -2logL {S(Wing_Len)} = 134.14354 Penalty {S(Wing_Len)} = 0.0000000 Gradient {S(Wing_Len)}: -0.2335092E-04-0.2342505E-04 S Vector {S(Wing_Len)}: 31.95076 0.4702106E-02 Time to compute number of parameters was 0.01 seconds. Threshold = 0.6000000E-07 Condition index = 0.1471673E-03 Conditioned S Vector {S(Wing_Len)}: 1.000000 0.1471673E-03 Number of Estimated Parameters {S(Wing_Len)} = 2 DEVIANCE {S(Wing_Len)} = 134.14354 DEVIANCE Degrees of Freedom {S(Wing_Len)} = 46 c-hat {S(Wing_Len)} = 2.9161639 AIC {S(Wing_Len)} = 138.14354 AICc {S(Wing_Len)} = 138.18625 BIC {S(Wing_Len)} = 145.44149 Pearson Chisquare {S(Wing_Len)} = 881.45793 LOGIT Link Function Parameters of {S(Wing_Len)} 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Beta Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1:Intercept 2.8948981 10.024177 -16.752490 22.542286 2:Wing_Len -0.0074843 0.3716944 -0.7360055 0.7210368 Real Function Parameters of {S(Wing_Len)} Following estimates based on unstandardized individual covariate values: Variable Value --------- ------------- AGE 0.3750000 WEIGHT 1.1591667 WING_LEN 26.972917 CONDIX 4.2954167 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Estimate Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1:S 0.9366137 0.0144614 0.9016409 0.9597072 2:S 0.9366137 0.0144614 0.9016409 0.9597072 3:S 0.9366137 0.0144614 0.9016409 0.9597072 4:S 0.9366137 0.0144614 0.9016409 0.9597072 5:S 0.9366137 0.0144614 0.9016409 0.9597072 6:S 0.9366137 0.0144614 0.9016409 0.9597072 7:S 0.9366137 0.0144614 0.9016409 0.9597072 8:S 0.9366137 0.0144614 0.9016409 0.9597072 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Apr-2009 20:22:50 Page 004 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Estimates of Derived Parameters Survival Estimates of {S(Wing_Len)} Pr. Surviving Duration of 95% Confidence Interval Group Study Standard Error Lower Upper ----- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1 0.5922214 0.0731517 0.4450847 0.7244938 Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.02 INPUT --- proc stop; Time in minutes for this job was 0.00 E X E C U T I O N S U C C E S S F U L Time in minutes for p 1100000000000000 1.0 3.0581 1011000000000000 1.0 2.8390 1011000000000000 1.0 2.8446 1010000000000000 1.0 42.1386 1010000000000000 1.0 42.0787 1010110000000000 1.0 2.6906 1010000000000000 1.0 42.1306 1010110000000000 1.0 2.6695 1010000000000000 1.0 42.0987 1010101100000000 1.0 2.5016 1010101100000000 1.0 2.4975 1010101100000000 1.0 2.4752 1010101100000000 1.0 2.5016 1010101100000000 1.0 2.4933 1010101000000000 1.0 36.9018 1010101011000000 1.0 2.3441 1010101011000000 1.0 2.3417 1010101000000000 1.0 36.8948 1010101011000000 1.0 2.3489 1010101011000000 1.0 2.3417 1010101010110000 1.0 2.1953 1010101010110000 1.0 2.1984 1010101010110000 1.0 2.1984 1010101010101100 1.0 2.0414 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4453 1010101010101010 1.0 28.2615 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5422 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4561 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4345 1010101010101010 1.0 28.3589 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5314 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4237 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4129 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4776 1010101010101010 1.0 28.3697 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4991 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4129 1010101010101010 1.0 28.3048 1010101010101010 1.0 28.3697 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4668 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4991 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4237 1010101010101010 1.0 28.3697 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4776 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4453 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5099 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4237 1010101010101010 1.0 28.3805 784 8BINARY BETA PAR(U(@D~BETA SE b` $@v?BETA LCI00;Q[BETA UCI%lEӊ6@`?ROW 1Q Y@FQCt ROW 2FQCt `V?HREAL PARjR?jR?jR?jR?jR?jR?jR?jR?HHREAL SE e?e?e?e?e?e?e?e?HHREAL LCI/,>?/,>?/,>?/,>?/,>?/,>?/,>?/,>?HHREAL UCI ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?HHROW 1=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?HHROW 2=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?HHROW 3=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?HHROW 4=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?HHROW 5=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?HHROW 6=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?HHROW 7=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?HHROW 8=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?=bTi+?H DERIVED  DERV PAR VNz?DERV SE NV?DERV LCI̚D|?DERV UCIc /?ROW 1K/-u?H DER Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Apr-2009 20:22:51 Page 001 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc title Black Duck Radio-tracking Data; Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.00 INPUT --- proc chmatrix occasions=8 groups=1 etype=Known icovar=4 INPUT --- ICMeans hist=300 NoHist; INPUT --- glabel(1)=Group 1; INPUT --- time interval 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1; INPUT --- icovariates Age Weight Wing_Len condix; Number of unique encounter histories read was 48. Number of individual covariates read was 4. Time interval lengths are all equal to 1. Data type is Known Fates. Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.03 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Apr-2009 20:22:51 Page 002 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc estimate link=Logit varest=2ndPart; INPUT --- model={S(Age+Weight)}; INPUT --- group=1 S rows=1 cols=8 Square Time=1; INPUT --- initial -1.7083875 -0.4722500 3.9596996; INPUT --- design matrix constraints=8 covariates=3; INPUT --- 1 age Weight; INPUT --- 1 age Weight; INPUT --- 1 age Weight; INPUT --- 1 age Weight; INPUT --- 1 age Weight; INPUT --- 1 age Weight; INPUT --- 1 age Weight; INPUT --- 1 age Weight; INPUT --- blabel(1)=Intercept; INPUT --- blabel(2)=age; INPUT --- blabel(3)=Weight; INPUT --- rlabel(1)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(2)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(3)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(4)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(5)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(6)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(7)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(8)=S; Link Function Used is LOGIT Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Apr-2009 20:22:51 Page 003 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Variance Estimation Procedure Used is 2ndPart -2logL(saturated) = 0.0000000 Effective Sample Size = 284 Results from first iteration: -2logL Initial {S(Age+Weight)} = 177.03379 Penalty Initial {S(Age+Weight)} = 0.0000000 Number of function evaluations was 17 for 3 parameters. Time for numerical optimization was 0.02 seconds. -2logL {S(Age+Weight)} = 132.19318 Penalty {S(Age+Weight)} = 0.0000000 Gradient {S(Age+Weight)}: 0.000000 0.3860989E-05 0.1287454E-05 S Vector {S(Age+Weight)}: 29.69307 3.375452 0.3691235E-01 Time to compute number of parameters was 0.01 seconds. Threshold = 0.8000000E-07 Condition index = 0.1243130E-02 Conditioned S Vector {S(Age+Weight)}: 1.000000 0.1136781 0.1243130E-02 Number of Estimated Parameters {S(Age+Weight)} = 3 DEVIANCE {S(Age+Weight)} = 132.19318 DEVIANCE Degrees of Freedom {S(Age+Weight)} = 45 c-hat {S(Age+Weight)} = 2.9376262 AIC {S(Age+Weight)} = 138.19318 AICc {S(Age+Weight)} = 138.27889 BIC {S(Age+Weight)} = 149.14010 Pearson Chisquare {S(Age+Weight)} = 909.17107 LOGIT Link Function Parameters of {S(Age+Weight)} 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Beta Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1:Intercept -1.7083846 3.2134258 -8.0066994 4.5899302 2:age -0.4722502 0.5766751 -1.6025335 0.6580330 3:Weight 3.9596973 2.8832401 -1.6914534 9.6108480 Real Function Parameters of {S(Age+Weight)} Following estimates based on unstandardized individual covariate values: Variable Value --------- ------------- AGE 0.3750000 WEIGHT 1.1591667 WING_LEN 26.972917 CONDIX 4.2954167 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Estimate Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1:S 0.9372899 0.0147123 0.9014884 0.9606483 2:S 0.9372899 0.0147123 0.9014884 0.9606483 3:S 0.9372899 0.0147123 0.9014884 0.9606483 4:S 0.9372899 0.0147123 0.9014884 0.9606483 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Apr-2009 20:22:51 Page 004 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 5:S 0.9372899 0.0147123 0.9014884 0.9606483 6:S 0.9372899 0.0147123 0.9014884 0.9606483 7:S 0.9372899 0.0147123 0.9014884 0.9606483 8:S 0.9372899 0.0147123 0.9014884 0.9606483 Estimates of Derived Parameters Survival Estimates of {S(Age+Weight)} Pr. Surviving Duration of 95% Confidence Interval Group Study Standard Error Lower Upper ----- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1 0.5956507 0.0747977 0.4448960 0.7302842 Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.03 INPUT --- proc stop; Time in minutes for this job was 0.00 E X E C U T I O N S U C C E S S F U L 1.0 42.1386 10p 1100000000000000 1.0 3.9464 1011000000000000 1.0 2.4052 1011000000000000 1.0 4.6805 1010000000000000 1.0 42.2839 1010000000000000 1.0 39.8893 1010110000000000 1.0 2.9422 1010000000000000 1.0 38.7061 1010110000000000 1.0 1.3974 1010000000000000 1.0 39.3145 1010101100000000 1.0 3.4627 1010101100000000 1.0 2.8170 1010101100000000 1.0 3.8817 1010101100000000 1.0 1.6653 1010101100000000 1.0 2.4379 1010101000000000 1.0 40.4176 1010101011000000 1.0 2.9994 1010101011000000 1.0 2.8048 1010101000000000 1.0 37.6320 1010101011000000 1.0 1.8131 1010101011000000 1.0 1.4056 1010101010110000 1.0 1.4914 1010101010110000 1.0 2.3090 1010101010110000 1.0 3.0526 1010101010101100 1.0 2.3614 1010101010101010 1.0 29.4628 1010101010101010 1.0 33.1035 1010101010101010 1.0 32.0927 1010101010101010 1.0 25.9753 1010101010101010 1.0 30.0499 1010101010101010 1.0 36.1329 1010101010101010 1.0 26.5792 1010101010101010 1.0 20.9499 1010101010101010 1.0 30.5468 1010101010101010 1.0 23.4846 1010101010101010 1.0 31.0730 1010101010101010 1.0 32.0927 1010101010101010 1.0 24.7440 1010101010101010 1.0 31.1113 1010101010101010 1.0 24.7440 1010101010101010 1.0 31.0730 1010101010101010 1.0 30.5468 1010101010101010 1.0 30.5859 1010101010101010 1.0 35.3436 1010101010101010 1.0 27.8037 1010101010101010 1.0 33.9996 1010101010101010 1.0 30.0100 1010101010101010 1.0 30.0100 1010101010101010 1.0 28.9054 BET Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:35 Page 001 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc title Black Duck Radio-tracking Data; Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.02 INPUT --- proc chmatrix occasions=8 groups=1 etype=Known icovar=4 INPUT --- ICMeans hist=300 NoHist; INPUT --- glabel(1)=Group 1; INPUT --- time interval 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1; INPUT --- icovariates Age Weight Wing_Len condix; Number of unique encounter histories read was 48. Number of individual covariates read was 4. Time interval lengths are all equal to 1. Data type is Known Fates. Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.02 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:35 Page 002 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc estimate link=Logit varest=2ndPart; INPUT --- model={S(min<0) logit link}; INPUT --- group=1 S rows=1 cols=8 Square Time=1; INPUT --- initial 6.4493019 -0.6084643; INPUT --- design matrix constraints=8 covariates=2; INPUT --- 1 4; INPUT --- 1 6; INPUT --- 1 7; INPUT --- 1 7; INPUT --- 1 7; INPUT --- 1 6; INPUT --- 1 5; INPUT --- 1 5; INPUT --- blabel(1)=Intercept; INPUT --- blabel(2)=min<0; INPUT --- rlabel(1)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(2)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(3)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(4)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(5)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(6)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(7)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(8)=S; Link Function Used is LOGIT Variance Estimation Procedure Used is 2ndPart -2logL(saturated) = 0.0000000 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:35 Page 003 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Effective Sample Size = 284 Results from first iteration: -2logL Initial {S(min<0) logit link} = 213.51166 Penalty Initial {S(min<0) logit link} = 0.0000000 Number of function evaluations was 13 for 2 parameters. Time for numerical optimization was 0.01 seconds. -2logL {S(min<0) logit link} = 128.55189 Penalty {S(min<0) logit link} = 0.0000000 Gradient {S(min<0) logit link}: 0.3815353E-06-0.1080828E-05 S Vector {S(min<0) logit link}: 30.58780 0.1334742 Time to compute number of parameters was 0.01 seconds. Threshold = 0.6000000E-07 Condition index = 0.4363641E-02 Conditioned S Vector {S(min<0) logit link}: 1.000000 0.4363641E-02 Number of Estimated Parameters {S(min<0) logit link} = 2 DEVIANCE {S(min<0) logit link} = 128.55189 DEVIANCE Degrees of Freedom {S(min<0) logit link} = 46 c-hat {S(min<0) logit link} = 2.7946062 AIC {S(min<0) logit link} = 132.55189 AICc {S(min<0) logit link} = 132.59459 BIC {S(min<0) logit link} = 139.84984 Pearson Chisquare {S(min<0) logit link} = 903.53432 LOGIT Link Function Parameters of {S(min<0) logit link} 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Beta Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1:Intercept 6.4493009 1.8628953 2.7980262 10.100576 2:min<0 -0.6084641 0.2876506 -1.1722592 -0.0446690 Real Function Parameters of {S(min<0) logit link} 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Estimate Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1:S 0.9822846 0.0128447 0.9288202 0.9957737 2:S 0.9425956 0.0148167 0.9056644 0.9656176 3:S 0.8993526 0.0268950 0.8330901 0.9411670 4:S 0.8993526 0.0268950 0.8330901 0.9411670 5:S 0.8993526 0.0268950 0.8330901 0.9411670 6:S 0.9425956 0.0148167 0.9056644 0.9656176 7:S 0.9679220 0.0147986 0.9222131 0.9871459 8:S 0.9679220 0.0147986 0.9222131 0.9871459 Estimates of Derived Parameters Survival Estimates of {S(min<0) logit link} Pr. Surviving Duration of 95% Confidence Interval Group Study Standard Error Lower Upper ----- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1 0.5947834 0.0729039 0.4479156 0.7264425 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 7-Jun-2009 19:57:35 Page 004 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.02 INPUT --- proc stop; Time in minutes for this job was 0.00 E X E C U T I O N S U C C E S S F U L Estimates of Derivep 1100000000000000 1.0 0.8503 1011000000000000 1.0 2.7066 1011000000000000 1.0 2.7066 1010000000000000 1.0 44.4431 1010000000000000 1.0 44.4431 1010110000000000 1.0 4.4731 1010000000000000 1.0 44.4431 1010110000000000 1.0 4.4731 1010000000000000 1.0 44.4431 1010101100000000 1.0 4.0229 1010101100000000 1.0 4.0229 1010101100000000 1.0 4.0229 1010101100000000 1.0 4.0229 1010101100000000 1.0 4.0229 1010101000000000 1.0 35.9471 1010101011000000 1.0 3.6180 1010101011000000 1.0 3.6180 1010101000000000 1.0 35.9471 1010101011000000 1.0 3.6180 1010101011000000 1.0 3.6180 1010101010110000 1.0 1.8558 1010101010110000 1.0 1.8558 1010101010110000 1.0 1.8558 1010101010101100 1.0 0.9775 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 7.9878 8BINARY BETA PAR-a~@xBETA SE 3mFAk?&h?BETA LCItr[b@6VBETA UCIè~3$@ЇfަROW 1U @{iROW 2{i^.?HREAL PAR-n?-%<)?G@)?G@)?G@)?-%<)? 7? 7?HHREAL SE w/ON?*4X?翧O\?翧O\?翧O\?*4X?sN?sN?HHREAL LCIn'?#3?!?!?!?#3?Ă?Ă?HHREAL UCIʰ`?jOL? e?0?ȓ?ʘoy?HHBETA LCIPrQ?s?_S7?oVK?| ?f\?&;? s?HHBETA UCIg0? ɇ?zj?fOo?D?ނoYc?s ?ssm@HHROW 1~~UU?@c[j=zP~=fo>S(U g  DgI]<v>HHROW 2W@c[j=taɕ?qV CE!fSV7WQ6i9fr=SA? RAjEʡ)Q >HHROW 5a(U fF\<$Clܽa$`R+?t;> MSwνBJn宼HHROW 6_  IG)Q< =U3;>߈$I?^&'BY>lM_$D&HHROW 7dI]u\Gz<ᬥ$'Xزʡ-SwνFO'BY>Ѥ'z?^E%HHROW 8Qv>$QCP<\i<+" >T!#D&#E%2gUU?HHREAL PARhYUU?Ϗzg?%jJcp? +b??"+I?yqQ??HHREAL SE $?V/,&?Vg k9?ah?Z4/:?.zcQ?sp? } *>HHREAL LCI޿Ev?mډ ?)|d? },sA?$?#+#?"Xv??HHREAL UCIX.?K|c?@̛?XuB?-y??G,j?u?HHROW 1X;?Z/7^x=b.:~=BlݭR=Ľ̋>ɜGbh؄A=B.3)keh=tŽ6RRP:HHROW 4BlݭR= !>=.%zg?#Jvk*ݽ֜ Խ&EqO_aɜ()keh=k*ݽ^ =֮k?=U9{cHHROW 7ɜGswV0/\?DERV LCIQ|?DERV UCIdU ?ROW 1U.nw? - - - - - X Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:59:08 Page 001 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc title Black Duck Radio-tracking Data; Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.00 INPUT --- proc chmatrix occasions=8 groups=1 etype=Known icovar=4 INPUT --- ICMeans NoHist hist=300; INPUT --- glabel(1)=Group 1; INPUT --- time interval 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1; INPUT --- icovariates Age Weight Wing_Len condix; Number of unique encounter histories read was 48. Number of individual covariates read was 4. Time interval lengths are all equal to 1. Data type is Known Fates. Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.02 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:59:08 Page 002 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc estimate link=Logit varest=2ndPart ; INPUT --- model={S(t)}; INPUT --- group=1 S rows=1 cols=8 Square Time=1; INPUT --- design matrix constraints=8 covariates=8; INPUT --- 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0; INPUT --- 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0; INPUT --- 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0; INPUT --- 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0; INPUT --- 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0; INPUT --- 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0; INPUT --- 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0; INPUT --- 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1; INPUT --- blabel(1)=; INPUT --- blabel(2)=; INPUT --- blabel(3)=; INPUT --- blabel(4)=; INPUT --- blabel(5)=; INPUT --- blabel(6)=; INPUT --- blabel(7)=; INPUT --- blabel(8)=; INPUT --- rlabel(1)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(2)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(3)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(4)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(5)=S; Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:59:08 Page 003 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- rlabel(6)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(7)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(8)=S; Link Function Used is LOGIT Variance Estimation Procedure Used is 2ndPart -2logL(saturated) = 0.0000000 Effective Sample Size = 284 Number of function evaluations was 41 for 8 parameters. Time for numerical optimization was 0.02 seconds. -2logL {S(t)} = 123.69500 Penalty {S(t)} = 0.0000000 Gradient {S(t)}: 0.2929983E-06 0.4145609E-05-0.6442538E-05 0.9743732E-06 0.2411963E-05 0.000000 0.5442093E-05 0.000000 S Vector {S(t)}: 4.358977 3.499998 2.678574 1.914894 1.902442 0.9791668 0.9599992 0.2864715E-06 Time to compute number of parameters was 0.01 seconds. Threshold = 0.1800000E-06 Condition index = 0.6571990E-07 Conditioned S Vector {S(t)}: 1.000000 0.8029403 0.6144960 0.4392990 0.4364423 0.2246323 0.2202350 0.6571990E-07 Number of Estimated Parameters {S(t)} = 7 DEVIANCE {S(t)} = 123.69500 DEVIANCE Degrees of Freedom {S(t)} = 41 c-hat {S(t)} = 3.0169511 AIC {S(t)} = 137.69500 AICc {S(t)} = 138.10079 BIC {S(t)} = 163.23782 Pearson Chisquare {S(t)} = 904.88563 LOGIT Link Function Parameters of {S(t)} 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Beta Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1: 3.8501485 1.0105823 1.8694072 5.8308897 2: 3.1135152 0.7226494 1.6971224 4.5299081 3: 2.9704130 0.7250106 1.5493923 4.3914337 4: 1.9169223 0.4789694 0.9781423 2.8557022 5: 1.9459107 0.5345226 0.8982463 2.9935751 6: 2.1202633 0.6110098 0.9226839 3.3178426 7: 3.1780557 1.0206212 1.1776382 5.1784732 8: 18.459268 1868.3545 -3643.5157 3680.4342 Real Function Parameters of {S(t)} 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Estimate Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:59:08 Page 004 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1:S 0.9791667 0.0206152 0.8663897 0.9970731 2:S 0.9574468 0.0294425 0.8451585 0.9893333 3:S 0.9512194 0.0336412 0.8248259 0.9877685 4:S 0.8717948 0.0535337 0.7267395 0.9456127 5:S 0.8750001 0.0584634 0.7105890 0.9522830 6:S 0.8928571 0.0584512 0.7155887 0.9650359 7:S 0.9600001 0.0391918 0.7645229 0.9943950 8:S 1.0000000 0.1797633E-004 0.9999648 1.0000352 Estimates of Derived Parameters Survival Estimates of {S(t)} Pr. Surviving Duration of 95% Confidence Interval Group Study Standard Error Lower Upper ----- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1 0.5830793 0.0756366 0.4318271 0.7201598 Attempted ordering of parameters by estimatibility: 4 5 6 2 3 1 7 8 Beta number 8 is a singular value. Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.03 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:59:08 Page 005 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc stop; Time in minutes for this job was 0.00 E X E C U T I O N S U C C E S S F U L p 1100000000000000 1.0 1.0000 1011000000000000 1.0 2.0000 1011000000000000 1.0 2.0000 1010000000000000 1.0 45.0000 1010000000000000 1.0 45.0000 1010110000000000 1.0 2.1951 1010000000000000 1.0 45.0000 1010110000000000 1.0 2.1951 1010000000000000 1.0 45.0000 1010101100000000 1.0 5.4878 1010101100000000 1.0 5.4878 1010101100000000 1.0 5.4878 1010101100000000 1.0 5.4878 1010101100000000 1.0 5.4878 1010101000000000 1.0 37.3171 1010101011000000 1.0 4.6646 1010101011000000 1.0 4.6646 1010101000000000 1.0 37.3171 1010101011000000 1.0 4.6646 1010101011000000 1.0 4.6646 1010101010110000 1.0 3.4985 1010101010110000 1.0 3.4985 1010101010110000 1.0 3.4985 1010101010101100 1.0 1.1662 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 1010101010101010 1.0 27.9878 DERV PAxDERV SE #  ?DERV LCI,'44?DERV UCIH?ROW 1T%ʚ?ctive Sample Size =p 1100000000000000 1.0 0.9391 1011000000000000 1.0 2.5781 1011000000000000 1.0 2.9920 1010000000000000 1.0 44.6204 1010000000000000 1.0 44.0689 1010110000000000 1.0 4.9046 1010000000000000 1.0 44.0689 1010110000000000 1.0 4.9046 1010000000000000 1.0 44.0689 1010101100000000 1.0 4.3588 1010101100000000 1.0 3.8835 1010101100000000 1.0 3.8835 1010101100000000 1.0 3.8835 1010101100000000 1.0 3.8835 1010101000000000 1.0 34.8056 1010101011000000 1.0 3.5095 1010101011000000 1.0 3.5095 1010101000000000 1.0 34.8056 1010101011000000 1.0 3.5095 1010101011000000 1.0 3.5095 1010101010110000 1.0 1.7987 1010101010110000 1.0 1.7987 1010101010110000 1.0 1.9665 1010101010101100 1.0 0.9455 1010101010101010 1.0 29.2688 1010101010101010 1.0 26.9453 1010101010101010 1.0 29.2688 1010101010101010 1.0 29.2688 1010101010101010 1.0 26.9453 1010101010101010 1.0 29.2688 1010101010101010 1.0 29.2688 1010101010101010 1.0 26.9453 1010101010101010 1.0 29.2688 1010101010101010 1.0 29.2688 1010101010101010 1.0 29.2688 1010101010101010 1.0 29.2688 1010101010101010 1.0 29.2688 1010101010101010 1.0 26.9453 1010101010101010 1.0 29.2688 1010101010101010 1.0 29.2688 1010101010101010 1.0 29.2688 1010101010101010 1.0 26.9453 1010101010101010 1.0 26.9453 1010101010101010 1.0 26.9453 1010101010101010 1.0 29.2688 1010101010101010 1.0 29.2688 1010101010101010 1.0 29.2688 1010101010101010 1.0 29.2688 826 ,BINARY BETA PARH9e2F@BETA SE q3@%1@BETA LCIJr iMBETA UCIg@\9O @ROW 1)B}M"@ROW 2ٟ[@HREAL PAR^}/>?^}/>?^}/>?^}/>?^}/>?^}/>?^}/>?^}/>?HHREAL SE zhʱ? zhʱ? zhʱ? zhʱ? zhʱ? zhʱ? zhʱ? zhʱ?HHREAL LCImvE?mvE?mvE?mvE?mvE?mvE?mvE?mvE?HHREAL UCIe1?e1?e1?e1?e1?e1?e1?e1?HHROW 1L+?L+?L+?L+?L+?L+?L+?L+?HHROW 2L+?L+?L+?L+?L+?L+?L+?L+?HHROW 3L+?L+?L+?L+?L+?L+?L+?L+?HHROW 4L+?L+?L+?L+?L+?L+?L+?L+?HHROW 5L+?L+?L+?L+?L+?L+?L+?L+?HHROW 6L+?L+?L+?L+?L+?L+?L+?L+?HHROW 7L+?L+?L+?L+?L+?L+?L+?L+?HHROW 8L+?L+?L+?L+?L+?L+?L+?L+?H DERIVED  DERV PAR8m48?DERV SE ~$?DERV LCINSM?DERV UCI#p|?ROW 1x*v? 7 7ۯ];(?]55,?]55,?H DERIVED  DERV PARCn#?DERV SE '?DERV LCIV?l?DERV UCI$ p_?ROW 1Xq;v?1 95% Cop 1100000000000000 1.0 1.1616 1011000000000000 1.0 2.2056 1011000000000000 1.0 4.8920 1010000000000000 1.0 44.6466 1010000000000000 1.0 42.7864 1010110000000000 1.0 5.1999 1010000000000000 1.0 41.9683 1010110000000000 1.0 2.4248 1010000000000000 1.0 42.3906 1010101100000000 1.0 5.7322 1010101100000000 1.0 4.4844 1010101100000000 1.0 6.1361 1010101100000000 1.0 2.6522 1010101100000000 1.0 3.8849 1010101000000000 1.0 39.3085 1010101011000000 1.0 4.4978 1010101011000000 1.0 4.2374 1010101000000000 1.0 36.1522 1010101011000000 1.0 2.8104 1010101011000000 1.0 2.1916 1010101010110000 1.0 1.2579 1010101010110000 1.0 1.9163 1010101010110000 1.0 2.4712 1010101010101100 1.0 1.0945 1010101010101010 1.0 29.8734 1010101010101010 1.0 32.5945 1010101010101010 1.0 32.4922 1010101010101010 1.0 26.3914 1010101010101010 1.0 29.4333 1010101010101010 1.0 36.4995 1010101010101010 1.0 26.9950 1010101010101010 1.0 20.1315 1010101010101010 1.0 30.9537 1010101010101010 1.0 23.8993 1010101010101010 1.0 31.4776 1010101010101010 1.0 32.4922 1010101010101010 1.0 25.1599 1010101010101010 1.0 30.5304 1010101010101010 1.0 25.1599 1010101010101010 1.0 31.4776 1010101010101010 1.0 30.9537 1010101010101010 1.0 29.9871 1010101010101010 1.0 34.9220 1010101010101010 1.0 27.1187 1010101010101010 1.0 34.3862 1010101010101010 1.0 30.4189 1010101010101010 1.0 30.4189 1010101010101010 1.0 29.3175 4 BX Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.02 INPUT --- proc stop; Time in minutes for this job was 0.00 E X E C U T I O N S U C C E S S F U L .0 ,BINARY BETA PARDe@OLxBETA SE i?Nh?BETA LCI#`\b@.ekBETA UCIl;~3$@U]ަROW 1ْ>S @L@gROW 2O@g[wu.?HREAL PARn?6)? -"? -"? -"?6)?M7?M7?HHREAL SE ,tNN?z4X?"J\?"J\?"J\?z4X?vj7N?vj7N?HHREAL LCIfA?3?s~?s~?s~?3?_1lł?_1lł?HHREAL UCIY`?]/V?# ?# ?# ?]/V?P ?P ?HHROW 1O'%?HZ=!?VxIVxIVxIHZ=!?ҁh(?ҁh(?HHROW 2HZ=!?څU,?GS)?GS)?GS)?څU,?h%H((?h%H((?HHROW 3VxIGS)?ѳG?ѳG?ѳG?fGS)?--HHROW 4VxIGS)?ѳG?ѳG?ѳG?fGS)?--HHROW 5VxIGS)?ѳG?ѳG?ѳG?fGS)?--HHROW 6HZ=!?څU,?fGS)?fGS)?fGS)?څU,?h%H((?h%H((?HHROW 7ҁh(?h%H((?---h%H((?ȡb,?ȡb,?HHROW 8ҁh(?h%H((?---h%H((?ȡb,?ȡb,?H DERIVED  DERV PAR$"w?DERV SE ԩ?DERV LCI ֥?DERV UCIp(F??ROW 1(E[)u? ,BINARY HBETA PAR̥@y7z@{g@T?sFs"?}L@#vl @= uu2@HHBETA SE R*cKX+?.e?4SI3?o?_02?ud?mvT?@R k1@HHBETA LCIT.Ď?lci'?fO?* L?ǔo?,|? ?9 wHHBETA UCIER@$8@dԐ@j{hz@э~@i @ s@ 4U@HHROW 1MB&W?czs~>晑>CN E9nDJzr{9*,$ }4_[>HHROW 2zs~>+? ?7=w8zxP No>+yr> NQz>k2ٿpPHHROW 3晑>=w+- ?`c< Ĭ$q>큞 r>3 >"LQHHROW 4Z E9" 'zxaU˹<yc\]?w~z1>Ud>*bIRĬ$q>oz1> 6%I? =X:]oyzXIHHROW 6`r{t1yr>P r>d>X:/?p1= g]>HHROW 70,$ Pz> >HHROW 8}4_[>d pP8KQRهdIQ&g]>I։[>!dYޡJAHHREAL PAR ^UU?5{g?cp?uF?$N!?I?zR?q?HHREAL SE #?+&?+%l9?Lh?3?IQ?E4?a<{>HHREAL LCI "v?9 ?j*ad?+sA?F %? 2?v?6r?HHREAL UCIjd? c?5b4̛?uB??P7@y??o?Vi]$?HHROW 1Cp;?)k3 =I# =%G! m2 tWaHHROW 4%s'¡auѴItսO~b 4Փ?y>^?ln?ln?ln?y>^?ޛ`tDM?ޛ`tDM?HHREAL UCIr#1?sM?T3?T3?T3?sM?p-@>HHROW 4}G;`:3? qJO? qJO? qJO?<`:3?p-@>p-@>HHROW 5}G;`:3? qJO? qJO? qJO?<`:3?p-@>p-@>HHROW 6)._%?ُi2?<`:3?<`:3?<`:3?ُi2?W.?W.?HHROW 77,?W.?p-@>p-@>p-@>W.?/.n0?/.n0?HHROW 87,?W.?p-@>p-@>p-@>W.?/.n0?/.n0?H DERIVED  DERV PAR)U&?DERV SE rF ?DERV LCI#?DERV UCIR&R?ROW 1F{? 6p 1100000000000000 1.0 0.8503 1011000000000000 1.0 2.7066 1011000000000000 1.0 2.7066 1010000000000000 1.0 44.4431 1010000000000000 1.0 44.4431 1010110000000000 1.0 4.4731 1010000000000000 1.0 44.4431 1010110000000000 1.0 4.4731 1010000000000000 1.0 44.4431 1010101100000000 1.0 4.0229 1010101100000000 1.0 4.0229 1010101100000000 1.0 4.0229 1010101100000000 1.0 4.0229 1010101100000000 1.0 4.0229 1010101000000000 1.0 35.9471 1010101011000000 1.0 3.6180 1010101011000000 1.0 3.6180 1010101000000000 1.0 35.9471 1010101011000000 1.0 3.6180 1010101011000000 1.0 3.6180 1010101010110000 1.0 1.8558 1010101010110000 1.0 1.8558 1010101010110000 1.0 1.8558 1010101010101100 1.0 0.9775 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 1010101010101010 1.0 28.5496 31 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:57:13 Page 001 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc title Black Duck Radio-tracking Data; Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.00 INPUT --- proc chmatrix occasions=8 groups=1 etype=Known icovar=4 INPUT --- ICMeans NoHist hist=300; INPUT --- glabel(1)=Group 1; INPUT --- time interval 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1; INPUT --- icovariates Age Weight Wing_Len condix; Number of unique encounter histories read was 48. Number of individual covariates read was 4. Time interval lengths are all equal to 1. Data type is Known Fates. Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.02 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:57:13 Page 002 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc estimate link=Logit varest=2ndPart ; INPUT --- model={S(Weight)}; INPUT --- group=1 S rows=1 cols=8 Square Time=1; INPUT --- design matrix constraints=8 covariates=2; INPUT --- 1 Weight; INPUT --- 1 Weight; INPUT --- 1 Weight; INPUT --- 1 Weight; INPUT --- 1 Weight; INPUT --- 1 Weight; INPUT --- 1 Weight; INPUT --- 1 Weight; INPUT --- blabel(1)=Intercept; INPUT --- blabel(2)=Weight; INPUT --- rlabel(1)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(2)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(3)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(4)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(5)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(6)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(7)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(8)=S; Link Function Used is LOGIT Variance Estimation Procedure Used is 2ndPart -2logL(saturated) = 0.0000000 Effective Sample Size = 284 Number of function evaluations was 17 for 2 parameters. Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:57:13 Page 003 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Time for numerical optimization was 0.01 seconds. -2logL {S(Weight)} = 132.83935 Penalty {S(Weight)} = 0.0000000 Gradient {S(Weight)}: 0.3315874E-05 0.2182742E-05 S Vector {S(Weight)}: 27.59365 0.4298382E-01 Time to compute number of parameters was 0.01 seconds. Threshold = 0.6000000E-07 Condition index = 0.1557743E-02 Conditioned S Vector {S(Weight)}: 1.000000 0.1557743E-02 Number of Estimated Parameters {S(Weight)} = 2 DEVIANCE {S(Weight)} = 132.83935 DEVIANCE Degrees of Freedom {S(Weight)} = 46 c-hat {S(Weight)} = 2.8878120 AIC {S(Weight)} = 136.83935 AICc {S(Weight)} = 136.88206 BIC {S(Weight)} = 144.13730 Pearson Chisquare {S(Weight)} = 904.44105 LOGIT Link Function Parameters of {S(Weight)} 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Beta Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1:Intercept -0.7142817 3.0251192 -6.6435154 5.2149521 2:Weight 2.9636916 2.6489980 -2.2283445 8.1557278 Real Function Parameters of {S(Weight)} Following estimates based on unstandardized individual covariate values: Variable Value --------- ------------- AGE 0.3750000 WEIGHT 1.1591667 WING_LEN 26.972917 CONDIX 4.2954167 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Estimate Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1:S 0.9382621 0.0144993 0.9029580 0.9612733 2:S 0.9382621 0.0144993 0.9029580 0.9612733 3:S 0.9382621 0.0144993 0.9029580 0.9612733 4:S 0.9382621 0.0144993 0.9029580 0.9612733 5:S 0.9382621 0.0144993 0.9029580 0.9612733 6:S 0.9382621 0.0144993 0.9029580 0.9612733 7:S 0.9382621 0.0144993 0.9029580 0.9612733 8:S 0.9382621 0.0144993 0.9029580 0.9612733 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:57:13 Page 004 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Estimates of Derived Parameters Survival Estimates of {S(Weight)} Pr. Surviving Duration of 95% Confidence Interval Group Study Standard Error Lower Upper ----- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1 0.6006110 0.0742514 0.4504915 0.7339406 Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.03 INPUT --- proc stop; Time in minutes for this job was 0.00 E X E C U T I O N S U C C E S S F U L p 1100000000000000 1.0 2.9566 1011000000000000 1.0 2.7745 1011000000000000 1.0 3.4037 1010000000000000 1.0 41.6212 1010000000000000 1.0 41.9528 1010110000000000 1.0 2.3609 1010000000000000 1.0 41.2736 1010110000000000 1.0 1.3328 1010000000000000 1.0 41.6212 1010101100000000 1.0 2.7246 1010101100000000 1.0 2.9607 1010101100000000 1.0 3.7621 1010101100000000 1.0 2.0311 1010101100000000 1.0 2.6670 1010101000000000 1.0 41.2680 1010101011000000 1.0 3.0186 1010101011000000 1.0 2.8735 1010101000000000 1.0 39.4490 1010101011000000 1.0 2.1080 1010101011000000 1.0 1.7632 1010101010110000 1.0 1.7978 1010101010110000 1.0 2.4327 1010101010110000 1.0 2.5893 1010101010101100 1.0 2.4024 1010101010101010 1.0 27.5754 1010101010101010 1.0 34.8440 1010101010101010 1.0 29.6963 1010101010101010 1.0 24.8630 1010101010101010 1.0 32.7862 1010101010101010 1.0 33.1448 1010101010101010 1.0 25.3263 1010101010101010 1.0 26.6900 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4402 1010101010101010 1.0 22.9723 1010101010101010 1.0 28.8645 1010101010101010 1.0 29.6963 1010101010101010 1.0 23.9247 1010101010101010 1.0 33.4971 1010101010101010 1.0 23.9247 1010101010101010 1.0 28.8645 1010101010101010 1.0 28.4402 1010101010101010 1.0 33.1448 1010101010101010 1.0 36.3882 1010101010101010 1.0 31.2898 1010101010101010 1.0 31.2898 1010101010101010 1.0 28.0104 1010101010101010 1.0 28.0104 1010101010101010 1.0 27.1352 010  Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:57:26 Page 001 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc title Black Duck Radio-tracking Data; Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.00 INPUT --- proc chmatrix occasions=8 groups=1 etype=Known icovar=4 INPUT --- ICMeans NoHist hist=300; INPUT --- glabel(1)=Group 1; INPUT --- time interval 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1; INPUT --- icovariates Age Weight Wing_Len condix; Number of unique encounter histories read was 48. Number of individual covariates read was 4. Time interval lengths are all equal to 1. Data type is Known Fates. Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.02 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:57:26 Page 002 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - INPUT --- proc estimate link=Logit varest=2ndPart ; INPUT --- model={S(Age)}; INPUT --- group=1 S rows=1 cols=8 Square Time=1; INPUT --- design matrix constraints=8 covariates=2; INPUT --- 1 Age; INPUT --- 1 Age; INPUT --- 1 Age; INPUT --- 1 Age; INPUT --- 1 Age; INPUT --- 1 Age; INPUT --- 1 Age; INPUT --- 1 Age; INPUT --- blabel(1)=Intercept; INPUT --- blabel(2)=Age; INPUT --- rlabel(1)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(2)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(3)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(4)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(5)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(6)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(7)=S; INPUT --- rlabel(8)=S; Link Function Used is LOGIT Variance Estimation Procedure Used is 2ndPart -2logL(saturated) = 0.0000000 Effective Sample Size = 284 Number of function evaluations was 17 for 2 parameters. Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:57:26 Page 003 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Time for numerical optimization was 0.01 seconds. -2logL {S(Age)} = 134.10876 Penalty {S(Age)} = 0.0000000 Gradient {S(Age)}: 0.3815425E-05 0.2589680E-05 S Vector {S(Age)}: 19.16449 3.288063 Time to compute number of parameters was 0.01 seconds. Threshold = 0.6000000E-07 Condition index = 0.1715706 Conditioned S Vector {S(Age)}: 1.000000 0.1715706 Number of Estimated Parameters {S(Age)} = 2 DEVIANCE {S(Age)} = 134.10876 DEVIANCE Degrees of Freedom {S(Age)} = 46 c-hat {S(Age)} = 2.9154077 AIC {S(Age)} = 138.10876 AICc {S(Age)} = 138.15146 BIC {S(Age)} = 145.40670 Pearson Chisquare {S(Age)} = 880.44536 LOGIT Link Function Parameters of {S(Age)} 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Beta Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1:Intercept 2.7245796 0.2979896 2.1405200 3.3086393 2:Age -0.0974987 0.5172160 -1.1112422 0.9162447 Real Function Parameters of {S(Age)} Following estimates based on unstandardized individual covariate values: Variable Value --------- ------------- AGE 0.3750000 WEIGHT 1.1591667 WING_LEN 26.972917 CONDIX 4.2954167 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Estimate Standard Error Lower Upper ------------------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1:S 0.9363159 0.0145838 0.9010231 0.9595885 2:S 0.9363159 0.0145838 0.9010231 0.9595885 3:S 0.9363159 0.0145838 0.9010231 0.9595885 4:S 0.9363159 0.0145838 0.9010231 0.9595885 5:S 0.9363159 0.0145838 0.9010231 0.9595885 6:S 0.9363159 0.0145838 0.9010231 0.9595885 7:S 0.9363159 0.0145838 0.9010231 0.9595885 8:S 0.9363159 0.0145838 0.9010231 0.9595885 Program MARK - Survival Rate Estimation with Capture-Recapture Data Compaq(Win32) Vers. 5.1 Apr 2007 23-Sep-2009 10:57:26 Page 004 Black Duck Radio-tracking Data - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Estimates of Derived Parameters Survival Estimates of {S(Age)} Pr. Surviving Duration of 95% Confidence Interval Group Study Standard Error Lower Upper ----- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- 1 0.5907165 0.0736068 0.4428036 0.7238516 Time in seconds for last procedure was 0.03 INPUT --- proc stop; Time in minutes for this job was 0.00 E X E C U T I O N S U C C E S S F U L -----p 1100000000000000 1.0 3.2360 1011000000000000 1.0 2.7721 1011000000000000 1.0 3.0178 1010000000000000 1.0 42.2741 1010000000000000 1.0 41.7462 1010110000000000 1.0 2.8144 1010000000000000 1.0 41.7462 1010110000000000 1.0 2.8144 1010000000000000 1.0 41.7462 1010101100000000 1.0 2.6246 1010101100000000 1.0 2.4414 1010101100000000 1.0 2.4414 1010101100000000 1.0 2.4414 1010101100000000 1.0 2.4414 1010101000000000 1.0 36.3073 1010101011000000 1.0 2.2912 1010101011000000 1.0 2.2912 1010101000000000 1.0 36.3073 1010101011000000 1.0 2.2912 1010101011000000 1.0 2.2912 1010101010110000 1.0 2.1502 1010101010110000 1.0 2.1502 1010101010110000 1.0 2.2827 1010101010101100 1.0 2.0178 1010101010101010 1.0 28.8784 1010101010101010 1.0 27.4629 1010101010101010 1.0 28.8784 1010101010101010 1.0 28.8784 1010101010101010 1.0 27.4629 1010101010101010 1.0 28.8784 1010101010101010 1.0 28.8784 1010101010101010 1.0 27.4629 1010101010101010 1.0 28.8784 1010101010101010 1.0 28.8784 1010101010101010 1.0 28.8784 1010101010101010 1.0 28.8784 1010101010101010 1.0 28.8784 1010101010101010 1.0 27.4629 1010101010101010 1.0 28.8784 1010101010101010 1.0 28.8784 1010101010101010 1.0 28.8784 1010101010101010 1.0 27.4629 1010101010101010 1.0 27.4629 1010101010101010 1.0 27.4629 1010101010101010 1.0 28.8784 1010101010101010 1.0 28.8784 1010101010101010 1.0 28.8784 1010101010101010 1.0 28.8784 HREAʱ?R*ʱ?R*ʱ?R*ʱ?R*ʱ?R*ʱ?R*ʱ?R*ʱ?HHREAL LCIeG?eG?eG?eG?eG?eG?eG?eG?HHREAL UCIn;2?n;2?n;2?n;2?n;2?n;2?n;2?n;2?HHROW 14+?4+?4+?4+?4+?4+?4+?4+?HHROW 24+?4+?4+?4+?4+?4+?4+?4+?HHROW 34+?4+?4+?4+?4+?4+?4+?4+?HHROW 44+?4+?4+?4+?4+?4+?4+?4+?HHROW 54+?4+?4+?4+?4+?4+?4+?4+?HHROW 64+?4+?4+?4+?4+?4+?4+?4+?HHROW 74+?4+?4+?4+?4+?4+?4+?4+?HHROW 84+?4+?4+?4+?4+?4+?4+?4+?H DERIVED  DERV PAR48?DERV SE Rt$?DERV LCIwkZ?DERV UCI@F!z0V L`r@`%Cy@@R&C@yr@``" >C%0` Lz!@FV```~`BINARY  BETA PAR V[i@ZJb6? BETA SE YtZh@83dh?qƤ? BETA LCI FPYIR BETA UCImn#@dʞjc-@ ROW 1a=K,@Lxvῗy() ROW 20xvV-?}l? ROW 3y()!}l?܊+^? HREAL PARLOq?R16?aIi?aIi?aIi?R16?%@?%@?HHREAL SE )? b;?6H0m?6H0m?6H0m? b;? ҍ? ҍ?HHREAL LCI?,?iĿ?iĿ?iĿ?,?;"P8?;"P8?HHREAL UCIYi?[69/?AmN:3?AmN:3?AmN:3?[69/?}DO?}DO?HHROW 1ijT$??+a!?A,SA,SA,S?+a!?sSTȠ'?sSTȠ'?HHROW 2?+a!?!,?' *?' *?' *?!,?\񚗨'?\񚗨'?HHROW 3A,S' *?|tɶG?|tɶG?|tɶG?' *?q辻qHHROW 4A,S' *?|tɶG?|tɶG?|tɶG?' *?q辻qHHROW 5A,S' *?|tɶG?|tɶG?|tɶG?' *?q辻qHHROW 6?+a!?!,?' *?' *?' *?!,?\񚗨'?\񚗨'?HHROW 7sSTȠ'?\񚗨'?q辻q辻q\񚗨'? H+? H+?HHROW 8sSTȠ'?\񚗨'?q辻q辻q\񚗨'? H+? H+?H DERIVED  DERV PAR!$^zR?DERV SE w?DERV LCI4 ^ ?DERV UCIv{"?ROW 1<v?DERV UCIW,9